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The Stock Market Has Officially Entered Crazytown Territory

Looney Tunes - Photo by Ramon F VelasquezIt is time to crank up the Looney Tunes theme song because Wall Street has officially entered crazytown territory.  Stocks just keep going higher and higher, and at this point what is happening in the stock market does not bear any resemblance to what is going on in the overall economy whatsoever.  So how long can this irrational state of affairs possibly continue?  Stocks seem to go up no matter what happens.  If there is good news, stocks go up.  If there is bad news, stocks go up.  If there is no news, stocks go up.  On Thursday, the day after Christmas, the Dow was up another 122 points to another new all-time record high.  In fact, the Dow has had an astonishing 50 record high closes this year.  This reminds me of the kind of euphoria that we witnessed during the peak of the housing bubble.  At the time, housing prices just kept going higher and higher and everyone rushed to buy before they were “priced out of the market”.  But we all know how that ended, and this stock market bubble is headed for a similar ending.

It is almost as if Wall Street has not learned any lessons from the last two major stock market crashes at all.  Just look at Twitter.  At the current price, Twitter is supposedly worth 40.7 BILLION dollars.  But Twitter is not profitable.  It is a seven-year-old company that has never made a single dollar of profit.

Not one single dollar.

In fact, Twitter actually lost 64.6 million dollars last quarter alone.  And Twitter is expected to continue losing money for all of 2015 as well.

But Twitter stock is up 82 percent over the last 30 days, and nobody can really give a rational reason for why this is happening.

Overall, the Dow is up more than 25 percent so far this year.  Unless something really weird happens over the next few days, it will be the best year for the Dow since 1996.

It has been a wonderful run for Wall Street.  Unfortunately, there are a whole host of signs that we have entered very dangerous territory.

The median price-to-earnings ratio on the S&P 500 has reached an all-time record high, and margin debt at the New York Stock Exchange has reached a level that we have never seen before.  In other words, stocks are massively overpriced and people have been borrowing huge amounts of money to buy stocks.  These are behaviors that we also saw just before the last two stock market bubbles burst.

And of course the most troubling sign is that even as the stock market soars to unprecedented heights, the state of the overall U.S. economy is actually getting worse…

-During the last full week before Christmas, U.S. store visits were 21 percent lower than a year earlier and retail sales were 3.1 percent lower than a year earlier.

-The number of mortgage applications just hit a new 13 year low.

-The yield on 10 year U.S. Treasuries just hit 3 percent.

For many more signs like this, please see my previous article entitled “37 Reasons Why ‘The Economic Recovery Of 2013′ Is A Giant Lie“.

And most Americans don’t realize this, but the U.S. financial system and the overall U.S. economy are now in much weaker condition than they were the last time we had a major financial crash back in 2008.  Employment is at a much lower level than it was back then and our banking system is much more vulnerable than it was back then.  Just before the last financial crash, the U.S. national debt was sitting at about 10 trillion dollars, but today it has risen to more than 17.2 trillion dollars.  The following excerpt from a recent article posted on contains even more facts and figures which show how our “balance sheet numbers” continue to get even worse…

Since the fourth quarter of 2009, the U.S. current account deficit has been more than $100 billion per quarter. As a result, foreigners now own $4.2 trillion more U.S. investment assets than we own abroad. That’s $1.7 trillion more than when Buffett first warned about this huge problem in 2003. Said another way, the problem is 68% bigger now.

And here’s a number no one else will tell you – not even Buffett. Foreigners now own $25 trillion in U.S. assets. And yet… we continue to consume far more than we produce, and we borrow massively to finance our deficits.

Since 2007, the total government debt in the U.S. (federal, state, and local) has doubled from around $10 trillion to $20 trillion.

Meanwhile, the size of Fannie and Freddie’s mortgage book declined slightly since 2007, falling from $4.9 trillion to $4.6 trillion. That’s some good news, right?

Nope. The excesses just moved to a new agency. The “other” federal mortgage bank, the Federal Housing Administration, now is originating 20% of all mortgages in the U.S., up from less than 5% in 2007.

Student debt, also spurred on by government guarantees, has also boomed, doubling since 2007 to more than $1 trillion. Altogether, total debt in our economy has grown from around $50 trillion to more than $60 trillion since 2007.

So don’t be fooled by this irrational stock market bubble.

Just because a bunch of half-crazed investors are going into massive amounts of debt in a desperate attempt to make a quick buck does not mean that the overall economy is in good shape.

In fact, much of the country is in such rough shape that “reverse shopping” has become a huge trend.  Even big corporations such as McDonald’s are urging their employees to return their Christmas gifts in order to bring in some much needed money…

In a stark reminder of how tough things still are for low-income families in America, McDonalds has advised workers to dig themselves “out of holiday debt” by cashing in their Christmas haul.

“You may want to consider returning some of your unopened purchases that may not seem as appealing as they did,” said a website set up for employees.

“Selling some of your unwanted possessions on eBay or Craigslist could bring in some quick cash.”

This irrational stock market bubble is not going to last for too much longer.  And a lot of top financial experts are now warning their clients to prepare for the worst.  For example, David John Marotta of Marotta Wealth Management recently told his clients that they should all have a “bug-out bag” that contains food, a gun and some ammunition…

A top financial advisor, worried that Obamacare, the NSA spying scandal and spiraling national debt is increasing the chances for a fiscal and social disaster, is recommending that Americans prepare a “bug-out bag” that includes food, a gun and ammo to help them stay alive.

David John Marotta, a Wall Street expert and financial advisor and Forbes contributor, said in a note to investors, “Firearms are the last item on the list, but they are on the list. There are some terrible people in this world. And you are safer when your trusted neighbors have firearms.”

His memo is part of a series addressing the potential for a “financial apocalypse.” His view, however, is that the problems plaguing the country won’t result in armageddon. “There is the possibility of a precipitous decline, although a long and drawn out malaise is much more likely,” said the Charlottesville, Va.-based president of Marotta Wealth Management.

So what do you think is coming in 2014?

Please feel free to share your thoughts by posting a comment below…

  • GSOB

    “How can we protect ourselves? First, be aware of what items are likely to be highly tainted.

    1.) SEAFOOD: Question the origin of ALL seafood. Fish and crustaceans from the Pacific Ocean should all be considered to be poisoned with radiation.

    2.) WATER: The rainfall and snowfall are all radiated. Do not drink any water that has not been filtered. The tap water that flows from your faucet has NOT been treated to rid it of radioactive particles. A recent report from the NY Times stated, “A rooftop water monitoring program managed by UC Berkeley’s Department of Nuclear Engineering detected substantial spikes in rain-borne iodine-131 during torrential downpours …

    3.) DAIRY PRODUCTS: Milk and milk products from the West Coast states currently have the highest levels of radiation in North America.

    4.) PRODUCE: Leafy Vegetables, Wines, Tomatoes, Strawberries….all produce from California or any other West Coast State are also likely to be tainted.

    5.) MEAT: If a animal eats any leafy vegetable all along the West Coast, that animal has consumed radiation, and is poisoned. This is any animal from cows, pigs, goats, sheep to wild deer and other game.

    If you eat the above foods from areas with high radiation levels, you are eating radiation and feeding it to your children. Slowly the radiation levels within your body will build up. This is PERMANENT.”

  • jonno

    From child raping priests to culture destroying missionaries religion has been nothing but a tool used by governments to control the population. Nowhere has this control been more obvious than in the USA. The bible is an historical document not the word of god. Most of it was written by child raping religious nuts wanting total control. These difficult times are going to be made harder by religious nut cases waiting for the rapture while priests rape your children after church.

  • Mondobeyondo

    If you are new to the Great Depression, here’s a good place to start. Because…We’re headed there. Again.

  • Quiperdgagne

    Predictions for 2014 : Quiperdgagne out his ” Crystal Ball ” … the Naphtaline … !

    Posted on December 28, 2013

    Greatly helped by his assistant Quiperdgagne embarks some predictions for 2014

    Event Actions
    ◾ the NATO forces withdraw from Afghanistan
    ◾ Increase + + + action Korian becoming the European leader in nursing homes during the first quarter of 2014
    ◾ Increases ” cyber -attack ” , development of encryption, antivirus and malwaresl

    Rating agencies
    ◾ The international ratings agencies actually (or ” multipolar “) emerge

    ◾ The European interbank confidence slowly improve as evidenced by the Deposit Facility


    ◾ Progression portfolio qpg Exchange in the top 50, with the following selection:


    cac 40
    ◾ moderate increase in the CAC 40

    ◾ China sees its growth structurally slightly lower , but still the world’s factory .
    ◾ India still does not start really, although the number of patents increases significantly .
    ◾ The South America stagnated .
    ◾ Germany should see surpluses down a bit .
    ◾ We always have this recurring problem debt ceiling in the U.S..
    ◾ use , more and more prevalent on the web, the Darknet and Tor to keep his anonymity

    ◾ Lower gas
    ◾ No upward trend in oil
    ◾ The situation Fukushima empire
    ◾ We start talking about the ” Thorium ” as a substitute for uranium

    ◾ Property still broken
    ◾ Real estate transactions do not restart
    ◾ GDP close to zero in France
    ◾ Changing the Prime Minister of Manuel Valls
    ◾ France could actually be our worst problem, because she had commitments to Europe and its partners , promises all loupées .
    ◾ ” sluggish Reprise ” of the French economy in early 2014 , which should be marked by a “quasi- stability” of unemployment in the first half before leaving slightly higher and higher “moderate” business investment .
    ◾ GDP close to zero in France
    ◾ increase the tax burden
    ◾ drop the speed limit
    ◾ No salary increases
    ◾ Declining purchasing power
    ◾ Reduced consumption
    ◾ For Next elections a surge in populist parties (National Front) was observed with sanctions and abstention votes + + +.
    ◾ The UMP is disintegrating because of its internal conflicts .
    ◾ François Hollande beats records of unpopularity .
    ◾ price hike due to the increase in VAT (to try to fill the empty coffers ) and its corollary, increase “Work in Black ” and stagnation of household consumption
    ◾ price increase consultation with a general practitioner ( to fight against alienation for this profession and gently align the price of consultations in Europe)
    ◾ Unemployment, a dramatic toll 2013, 2014 will be worse , with the ban on part-time … The half-time are prohibited. Two million employees , part- time , less than 24h , are concerned. By 1 January 2016 , they will move to full-time or be fired !

    ◾ Engulfed French interventions in Africa
    ◾ Tension in Eastern countries ….
    ◾ instabilities in the Middle East and the heart of Africa
    ◾ Tensions in Korea (between North Korea and South Korea )
    ◾ Tension between China and Japan
    ◾ Syria, Egypt, Ukraine , Iran , Turkey.
    ◾ The South Africa could see a burst open and Zulu Xhosa for the control of power , mining war.
    ◾ Turkey now seems to apply to the OCS , if she leaves nato, it will be to go, it would be a geopolitically major reversal , the Russian having full access to the Mediterranean
    ◾ Conflicts in Ukraine between pro-Russian and pro- European

    ◾ drop gold
    ◾ The gold is then relegated to the rank of ” barbarous relic “, leaving currencies rely on the true riches of modern times: energy generation quantified wealth , etc …

    ◾ Continued deflation as evidenced velocity of money always at the lowest and very moderate recovery of raw materials as evidenced by the ICC and the BDI

    The usual lot
    ◾ As typhoons and hurricanes, these climatic phenomena are characteristic of certain regions. This is not a new one. ”
    ◾ Disappearance man or women state
    ◾ Disappearance of personalities making the headlines people

    Currencies ( link)
    ◾ increased uses of new currencies
    ◾ Kuwait, Qatar , Bahrain and Saudi Arabia launched in late December their common currency
    ◾ Note also that five African countries ( Kenya , Uganda , Tanzania, Rwanda and Burundi ) have also agreed on a common currency
    ◾ The wording total international trade in yuan is expected to increase 50 % in 2014
    ◾ Decline Turkish Book
    ◾ Declining Dollar
    ◾ The multiplications Virtual currencies , Bitcoin type causes their depreciation

    Science -> Health
    ◾ Innovation in the medical field . With the eye of extraordinary output as applications here for the performance of a Fund

    Micro ◾ cameras are inserted instead of blind eye and connected to the optic nerve of a vision based
    ◾ Stem cells take an unexpected development for the repair and replacement of diseased organs or parts of organs ( heart , brain … )
    ◾ New vaccines are available against the AIDS virus , malaria but are resent after “usual rumors” about the release of any innovative vaccine
    ◾ A major discovery suggests the treatment and prevention of Alzheimer’s disease, allowing a reduction in health care costs in aging populations
    ◾ This medical innovation can avoid the appearance of amyloid plaques and neurofibrillary tangles , as far drugs used were , at best, any action that in 10 % of cases
    ◾ First organ transplant rejection has strong power because of the development of new anti-rejection medications (pancreas … )
    ◾ Developing with exoskeletons control connections to the spinal cord
    ◾ world hear the new H7N9 virus
    ◾ The chikungunia between the USA by Louisiana via the mosquito Aedes aegypti

    – > Technology
    ◾ CDs holographic film the viewer was in the middle of the action
    ◾ The Chinese go to the conquest of space
    ◾ Development of anti- collision auto and automated highway driving by GPS systems etc. ..
    ◾ The Single European Monitoring Mechanism (SSM) is operational
    ◾ The Internet is increasingly used , at the information that television
    ◾ Google Glass is available to the general public
    ◾ The new World Trade Center is completed
    ◾ The Shanghai Tower is completed
    ◾ The first solar plane circled the world
    ◾ Completion of the expansion project of the Panama Canal
    ◾ Better protection against tooth decay
    ◾ we move chips from 22 to 14 nanometers, thus we approach the limits of ” Moore’s Law ” set for 2020

    ◾ The first products to use memristor technology become available ‘ ( reaching the atomic scale is approached comparable to the human brain artificial intelligence)
    ◾ Smart watches are the latest gadget to have
    ◾ Robotic mules are used by the armed
    ◾ The laser guns are used by Naval
    ◾ First flight of the Orion spacecraft NASA
    ◾ Virgin Galactic begins offering private suborbital spaceflight launch of the Falcon Heavy
    ◾ The MAVEN probe arrives on Mars
    ◾ first mission to Mars India
    ◾ launched the solar sail Sunjammer
    ◾ A comet passes close to Mars
    ◾ The Rosetta probe deploys its lander on the comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko
    ◾ Most phone calls are made over the Internet now
    ◾ Increased automation in retail environments

    ◾ aging populations in Europe (except in France and England )
    ◾ Rising unemployment due to the more massive robots, drones and robots use ….
    ◾ The rise of drones is impressive .

    ◾ Higher rate to 10 Years U.S. , who after achieving and exceeding 3% will soon be close to 4%.
    ◾ Loss of control of the world by the United States
    ◾ Resume QE
    ◾ The Fed reversed its earlier decision and increases the QE …. up to $ 100 billion per month
    ◾ The U.S. economy should continue its improvement to a moderate speed cruising.
    ◾ No recession for the United States of America for the next six months .
    ◾ The U.S. GDP is expected to grow between 2.9 % and 3.1 % in the first half of 2014
    ◾ The unemployment rate is expected to fluctuate between 6.8 % and 7.1 %. This will be considered encouraging but not sufficient to reduce the intervention of the Federal Reserve in the bond markets .
    ◾ From the second week of January 2014 , the debate may be heated between Republicans and Democrats about raising U.S. debt and the budget deficit limit.
    ◾ All business media will be focused on these two subjects .
    ◾ And , as usual , the media are sure to dramatize the situation on funds ” Shutdown ” which may extend to more than 30 days .
    ◾ Faced with these “concerns” U.S. equity markets are likely to fall during the first three months of 2014.
    ◾ Beginning in March 2014 , after a temporary agreement was reached , the U.S. stock exchanges are expected to stabilize .
    ◾ The Obamacare is set failure

    This does not happen
    No ◾ World War 3

  • hellbentgerbils

    a tetonic shift towards hell

  • Mike

    So what advice is there for many of us that have matching 401k plans from our jobs.? It’s hard to say no to put money into these plans when your company gives you 4-6% “free money”. Should we take money out of the 401k and incur penalties? Should we stop contributions? Where do you put your money? Do you convert it into liquid assets?

  • Dan the Man

    Wow….news about a possible economic collapse coming from site named economic collapse blog….naw, that ain’t biased at all.

  • Dan the Man

    This story is misleading you. It is outright lies for an agenda. If you Google “graph of 1930s depression stock market”, you will see that the market could not reach 1800 then b/c there was not that many companies or investments in the market. This report is completely misleading. Just more doom & gloom from people who are cheering for the greatest nation on earth to fall. Just haters.

  • Hammerstrike

    2014 = 2007

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