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Two More Harbingers Of Financial Doom That Mirror The Crisis Of 2008

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Harbingers - Public DomainThe stock market continues to flirt with new record highs, but the signs that we could be on the precipice of the next major financial crisis continue to mount.  A couple of days ago, I discussed the fact that the U.S. dollar is experiencing a tremendous surge in value just like it did in the months prior to the financial crisis of 2008.  And previously, I have detailed how the price of oil has collapsed, prices for industrial commodities are tanking and market behavior is becoming extremely choppy.  All of these are things that we witnessed just before the last market crash as well.  It is also important to note that orders for durable goods are declining and the Baltic Dry Index has dropped to the lowest level on record.  So does all of this mean that the stock market is guaranteed to crash in 2015?  No, of course not.  But what we are looking for are probabilities.  We are looking for patterns.  There are multiple warning signs that have popped up repeatedly just prior to previous financial crashes, and many of those same warning signs are now appearing once again.

One of these warning signs that I have not discussed previously is the wholesale inventories to sales ratio.  When economic activity starts to slow down, inventory tends to get backed up.  And that is precisely what is happening right now.  In fact, as Wolf Richter recently wrote about, the wholesale inventories to sales ratio has now hit a level that we have not seen since the last recession…

In December, the wholesale inventory/sales ratio reached 1.22, after rising consistently since July last year, when it was 1.17. It is now at the highest – and worst – level since September 2009, as the financial crisis was winding down:

Wolf Richter

Rising sales gives merchants the optimism to stock more. But because sales are rising in that rosy scenario, the inventory/sales ratio, depicting rising inventories and rising sales, would not suddenly jump. But in the current scenario, sales are not keeping up with inventory growth.

Another sign that I find extremely interesting is the behavior of the yield on 10 year U.S. Treasury notes.  As Jeff Clark recently explained, we usually see a spike in the 10 year Treasury yield about the time the market is peaking before a crash…

The 10-year Treasury note yield bottomed on January 30 at 1.65%. Today, it’s at 2%. That’s a 35-basis-point spike – a jump of 21% – in less than two weeks.

And it’s the first sign of an impending stock market crash.

10 Year Yield - Stansberry

As I explained last September, the 10-year Treasury note yield has ALWAYS spiked higher prior to an important top in the stock market.

For example, the 10-year yield was just 4.5% in January 1999. One year later, it was 6.75% – a spike of 50%. The dot-com bubble popped two months later.

In 2007, rates bottomed in March at 4.5%. By July, they had risen to 5.5% – a 22% increase. The stock market peaked in September.

Let’s be clear… not every spike in Treasury rates leads to an important top in the stock market. But there has always been a sharp spike in rates a few months before the top.

Once again, just because something has happened in the past does not mean that it will happen in the future.

But the fact that so many red flags are appearing all at once has got to give any rational person reason for concern.

Yes, the Dow gained more than 100 points on Thursday.  But on Thursday we also learned that retail sales dropped again in January.  Overall, this has been the worst two month drop in retail sales since 2009

Following last month’s narrative-crushing drop in retail sales, despite all that low interest rate low gas price stimulus, January was more of the same as hopeful expectations for a modest rebound were denied. Falling 0.8% (against a 0.9% drop in Dec), missing expectations of -0.4%, this is the worst back-to-back drop in retail sales since Oct 2009. Retail sales declined in 6 of the 13 categories.

And economic activity is rapidly slowing down on the other side of the planet as well.

For example, Chinese imports and exports both fell dramatically in January…

Chinese imports collapsed 19.9% YoY in January, missing expectations of a modest 3.2% drop by the most since Lehman. This is the biggest YoY drop since May 2009 and worst January since the peak of the financial crisis. Exports tumbled 3.3% YoY (missing expectations of 5.9% surge) for the worst January since 2009. Combined this led to a $60.03 billion trade surplus in January – the largest ever. But apart from these massive imbalances, everything is awesome in the global economy (oh apart from The Baltic Dry at record lows, Iron Ore near record lows, oil prices crashed, and the other engine of the world economy – USA USA USA – imploding).

In light of so much bad economic data, it boggles my mind that stocks have been doing so well.

But this is typical bubble behavior.  Financial bubbles tend to be very irrational and they tend to go on a lot longer than most people think they will.  When they do finally burst, the consequences are often quite horrifying.

It may not seem like it to most people, but we are right on track for a major financial catastrophe.  It is playing out right in front of our eyes in textbook fashion.  But it is going to take a little while to unfold.

Unfortunately, most people these days do not have the patience to watch long-term trends develop.  Instead, we have been trained by the mainstream media to have the attention spans of toddlers.  We bounce from one 48-hour news cycle to the next, eagerly looking forward to the next “scandal” that is going to break.

And when the next financial crash does strike, the mainstream media is going to talk about what a “surprise” it is.  But for those that are watching the long-term trends, it is not going to be a surprise at all.  We will have seen it coming a mile away.

 

  • robert

    Human nature is such that we ignore indicators and warning signs until damage is done and irreversible. Check engine lights come to mind. Low air in tires. Choose from your own experiences. The other part is that for most there is absolutely nothing that they can do about economic circumstances.

    • Marc

      Amen and believe there will not be a collapse untill they bring this country to the brink and just add more 0000 to our debt. The collapse will be total and devestating and really nothing thst is exciting except that us honest hardworkng business people like mself cant fing a good honest job.

      • Tate Cat

        Welcome to A oonet not A planet anymore. We now live on A oonet.

    • Tate Cat

      Satan I hate your guts so bad.

    • sandbagger

      Some people, such as the mom I recently pointed out had a low tire, say, “Oh….yeah.” and go on about their business without heeding the warning. (Said mom showed up with low tire again today. Arg!)

      You can talk to some until you’re blue in the face. The words enter their ear on one end, float around aimlessly in their empty skull and exit the other ear.

      Sad.

      • laura m.

        Exactly-this is why hubby and I and several friends are social recluses. When we go shopping for food, etc. interacting with folks in the store is our only social stuff we do. Seems the self centered sports addicted older folks are stuck in stupid, as the elder don’t teach the younger like it used to be done. Country is crapped out-train wreck ready to derail.

      • Outtaworktoolong

        Yep I have family like that. When I explain stuff like the empty cities and shopping malls in China, they accuse me of making it all up. Or they tell me “so what?”

        When I explain scary topics like a bank “bail in” they also accuse me of making it up. Then they ignore everything and go off in a daze.

  • K

    Michael all your points are valid. Now add ISIS, and messing directly with the Russians in the Ukraine. Also the insane authorization of force bill in front of the Congress. Attack ISIS, where ever it may be found. What if the loony-toon in chief, decides there is an ISIS cell in Moscow? From how I see it, there is a whole lot more, that could go wrong this time.

    • Tate Cat

      Lets destroy the devil now before it’s tolate

      • alan

        Make sure that devil is not a wedding party your about to turn into a funeral.

        Generally bombing people pisses them off more and you create generations of hatred against you.

    • digriff

      What if he decides they are all over the USA? Martial law? Emperor?

      • XSANDIEGOCA

        Indeed…

      • laura m.

        Martial law has been changed to: continuity of government so as not to panic/scare people. When you hear announcements on news “continuity of gov” then we are really under martial law. We are truly as banana republic as this country’s future is zero.

      • Outtaworktoolong

        Yes, and provisions already exist for that catchy phrase “continuity of government”. Elections would be suspended in light of the “crisis”.

    • XSANDIEGOCA

      You mean Moscow, Idaho?

  • Guest

    “In light of so much bad economic data, it boggles my mind that stocks have been doing so well.”

    Nothing about the economy makes sense to me. For example, last year as the Fed tapered QE we expected the 10-year Treasury yield to rise as lower demand for Treasuries would mean lower prices (and higher yields). But the 10-year yield dropped! This caused some to say that the Fed never ended QE. But if they really did end QE, where did all the additional demand for Treasuries come from that caused yields to drop? I don’t get it.

    • Tate Cat

      A mean burt year is just around the corner.

  • GSOB

    Air
    Sunlight
    Water
    Food
    Shelter
    Protection
    Prayer
    Bible
    what am I missing….
    Where did we go wrong?

    • Matt M

      Seeds for a vegetable garden.

      • GSOB

        “Truly, truly, I say to you, unless a grain of wheat falls into the earth and dies, it remains alone; but if it dies, it bears much fruit.

        • Mike

          And what Jesus is saying by “eat my flesh and drink my blood” is that your sins need to be paid for by His death, burial and resurrection. And we have communion with Him in eating the bread and drinking the wine as a memorial.

          • Matt M

            I have read, from cover to cover, the King James Bible, and the Catholic Bible. I always wonder if those quoting the word have actually done the same?

            When the SHTF I expect Preachers will be a dime a dozen. I barter the vegetables I grow (now, not some fantasy future) for eggs, meat, services, but would not barter just to hear a quote from the books I have already read.

          • Mike

            Are you talking to me? I saw a Bible quote that needed some explanation to those that don’t know the Bible. That’s great that you are preparing for hard times. But how does temporary survival compare to knowing the Creator and Savior? He’s not going to be impressed with your survival skills when your time is up.

          • sharonsj

            FYI, as a psychic, I assure you that the soul is immortal and that ALL people pass on to the next plane of existence–whether or not they are Christians. So do animals, so you’d better be nicer to your pets….

          • Karie

            It’s true that all people will pass on to the next plane of existence–whether or not they are Christians…. Unfortunately they will not all pass on to the same place and it will definitely not be a good place for many!

          • GSOB

            But Abraham said, ‘Child, remember that during your life you received your good things, and likewise Lazarus bad things; but now he is being comforted here, and you are in agony.…

          • GSOB

            For wisdom is better than rubies; and all the things that may be desired are not to be compared to it.

          • seth datta

            we got too many false prophets and ales preachers

          • GSOB

            Wisdom, like an inheritance, is a good thing and benefits those who see the sun.

    • VigilanteCaregiver

      Missing fertilizer, seeds, and tools. Get some rabbits.

    • Tate Cat

      The devil monster needs to be defeated now.

      • GSOB

        From now on you and the woman will be enemies, as will your offspring and hers. You will strike his heel, but he will crush your head

    • jakartaman

      Medicines/first aid

  • Paul

    I pledge allegiance to the flag of the Indebted Socialist States of America.
    And to the banana republic for which it stands.
    One nation under Yellen
    Divisible with tyranny and injustice for nearly all.

    • Goldfinger

      Ammo.

      • sherlock32555

        You got that!

    • Tweety58

      Banana Republics have borders

    • Horiboyable .

      It’s true what Obama said back in 2008; change has come to America.

      • Jack Listerio

        spare change

        • IRS

          Where?

          • Jack Listerio

            True

    • sharonsj

      And Socialist countries actually take care of their citizens.

      • Ace

        With the money extracted from the fleeced.

      • VigilanteCaregiver

        Socialist countries publicly denounce and harass the United States, then behind closed doors negotiate for handouts from us. Without our taxed ‘generosity’, socialist countries wouldn’t last a year.

        • Outtaworktoolong

          Handouts or “foreign aid” is the biggest scam we have ever had forced down our throats. That, and dumping “refugees” here.

          We are in a race to the bottom that those socialist countries already occupy.

        • Lol

          What socialist countries? Gorbachevs Russia? Or the other one that owns our debt and hoards gold?

    • Gay Veteran

      you mean fascist (the merger of state and corporate power)

  • GSOB

    Sow righteousness for yourselves, reap the fruit of unfailing love, and break up your unplowed ground; for it is time to seek the LORD, until he comes and showers his righteousness on you.

  • Jim Clark

    “Gloom, despair and agony on me-e!Deep dark depression, excessive misery-y!If it weren’t for bad luck I’d have no luck at all!Gloom, despair and agony on me-e-e!”

  • ww3

    They have to do a bank bail in while the dollar still has value. This feels like the closest its ever been. It should break 18k tomorrow. They can keep up the manipulation as long as they want with paper. Once the Brics bank goes live in May, and they back the Yuan with gold its over. The crash is happening now, we are in the middle of it.

    • seth datta

      people should research the net neutrality debate where its apparently obama and FCC versus the corporations, for the right to regulate free speech and internet broadband prices. The only problem is that obama/FCC and the corporations are both owned by the super-rich, so what they are saying is bye-bye free speech and hello higher internet prices to connect. Everyone should google this and be aware of this which will be a humanitarian catastrophe for the US and the west!

      God warned us of great evil in the end times, and that many would be blinded to how it would all come about. No ability to freely communicate with each other (you can be fined/imprisoned for any opinion deemed ‘offensive’), means totalitarian control and gov’t-corporations eventually killing off people domestically.

    • Outtaworktoolong

      I’m amazed how few people have ever heard of a “bail in” or what it means. Some of my own family, when I explain the concept, they tell me right to my face I’m making it up!

  • PK

    Michael, inventories of goods imported to the west coast are falling rapidly due to a dock worker’s slowdown. A good portion of my product is sitting in containers off shore. Please write about what is happening.

    • seth datta

      Its all being engineered to collapse over the next 5-10 years.

      • jsmith

        I think you are being too optimistic Seth. I think more like 2 to 5 years. And I can think of even halving that last figure of mine. Scary.

  • 2Gary2

    Dear Republican voter:

    Why?

    Why do you let your
    buttons of hate and fear get so easily pressed that you vote a party
    into power which WITHOUT FAIL does everything it can to benefit a few
    hundred with every need already met for generations to come, at the
    utter, often devastating expense of hundreds of millions of your fellow
    Americans-INCLUDING YOU AND YOUR OWN FAMILY?

    The republicans bottom line is to privatize every financial transaction
    so that one of their own can skim the cream off the top just so they can
    profit, even though the public is stuck with substandard services and
    products. Shame on them even though they are incapable of feeling shame
    since republicanism is a mental disorder.

    What is unfathomable to me is that they vote against the interests of
    themselves, their children, their communities, and their nation when
    they vote republican. It is a toxic, traitorous, sociopathic, and
    rationally incoherent party.

    • Mike

      You are so deceived its ridiculous! I’m not saying that the Republicans are much better than the Democrat Commies. But at least their constituents expect them to adhere to the Constitution which bides us a little more time of freedom before your liberal commiecrats completely sell us out and seize absolute control.

      • alan

        Bush and Obama (BOTH) bailed out the bankers.

        I see no difference in them.

        • Horiboyable .

          There is a big difference, one is a white idiot and the other is a black idiot.. Which only proves that idiocy does not discriminate against colour.

      • Peter

        You are the problem, by voting you are saying lets keep the status quo. You enslave us with your ignorance.

        • Mike

          By not voting you are throwing away your right to have any kind of say in the democratic process (as corrupt as it is). You’re a bigger part of the problem.

          • Gay Veteran

            we are given the illusion of choice because democrats=republicans.
            like choosing being Coke and Pepsi

      • VigilanteCaregiver

        Gary’s this site’s resident able-bodied welfare junkie and self-appointed Radical leftist SS officer.

      • 2Gary2

        with demographics changing republicans will be a small irrelevant minority with in the next 20-30 years. As it stands there will never be another republican president EVER.

        Yes they both suck but one sucks way worse than the other.

        • kfilly

          Cool! Single party fascist rule! That will be swell. Sarcasm now turned off.

        • bobbobbob

          you are my HERO God Bless

      • Gay Veteran

        “…But at least their constituents expect them to adhere to the Constitution….”

        then their constituents are fools.
        democrats=republicans

    • alan

      You have fallen for the ole divide and conquer trick. Both sides are the same and do the same things. You must realize this so you can point your finger straight at the bankers and crooks pulling their strings.

    • VigilanteCaregiver

      Where did you cut-and-paste this from?

      • 2Gary2

        I can not remember. Focus on the message and not where it comes from.

    • Ace
    • bobbobbob

      a party owned by CHINA

    • airedale

      Gary, since you’re from the Milwaukee area, you must be very proud of how your Dems save the poor. When you vote for Dems you get to spend hundreds of millions on a small Choo Choo Train that goes around in a small circle, catering to no riders. I’m sure that will help the poor masses and not the crony contractors the Dems are in bed with. Whoo whoo mayor Tommy Barrett.

  • David Fuller

    Its the she year every 7 years God grants a release read Deuteronomy 15 go back 7 years from 2015 2008 7 years b 4 2001 b4 1994 bond market crash b4 1987 crash black Monday Elul 29 solar eclipse same as this year 9/13/15 Elul 29 solar eclipse we also have 4 blood moons passover Sukkot an a solar eclipse on march 20th middle of shemiah Nissan 1 all biblical feast days I’m so glad I’m saved an accepted Jesus Christ as my lord an Saviour America is about to be judged for its sins an Gods about to give us into our enemies hands Gay marriage defiance abortion murder of unborn children kicking God out of schools an government this judgment is found in psalms 9:17 we were a Christian nation George Washington gave a oath an warning in NYC where he dedicated America to God in 1789 April 30 judgment comes back to the place of concencration 2001 was a harbinger a warning turn back to God our leaders instead spoke the vow of defiance Isaiah 9:10 right after our attack tom dashil end of speach says vow 9/12/01 than John Edwards 9-11-04 says vow how were replacing them an fullilling the vow that tower replacement is a defiance the nation didn’t repent it said we don’t need God will rebuild stronger without God!!! Now the blood moons an solar eclipses are tied to America an Israel at the same time 4/15/14 passover 1 st blood moon tree of hope dead an removed a sign were close to judgment Yemen our embassy we left military defeat weather disasters judgment earthquake famine drought pestilence ememys attack s inside America division in land all these realms are here Gods saying enough is enough America isn’t turning back I’m done with America

    • GSOB

      “I’m saved an accepted Jesus Christ as my lord an Saviour ”
      When?

      • David Fuller

        when i was 12 but as a child i turned but reciently came back to the lord im so glad he brought me back i was a lost sheep but God led his stray back he brought me back last year an im so glad i turned back to christ my heart is for those who are lost i pray many get saved even if its though my posts about the lord an how they can get saved by turning away repenting God wants none to perish but all to come to repentance forgive an be forgiven!!! sad many dont wanna turn away

        • GSOB

          Were you baptized at any time?
          Can’t do that without water.

    • Gay Veteran

      oh, so you adopted an unwanted child then

  • alan

    The plunge protection team will always halt a large drop. They announce good news before the next opening day and stocks will be up. Good news could be, oil up or down, QE up or down, War or peace in the middle east, Unemployment numbers up or down. Its all good.
    I don’t see any major event happening, I think they have enough paper and ink ready to plaster over any little turd that might drop.
    I am sure Greece is being papered over right now.
    This is just a slow grind until complete Americanization of our economy.

    • Dean

      angrily, I agree. tptb will keep this going for long long time.
      a crash would have come already!
      a reset would be perfect,but prob aint gonna happen

  • Horiboyable .

    You are right, all the ducks are lining up. The biggest flag is the increasing value of the USD, this indicates demand, which means big money is nervous (Europe) and its returning to the USA for safety. It will only take an event (Greece) or (European Bank Failure) for that trickle to turn into a flood and everyone will be looking for the exits. Throughout the world governments have over spent, citizens have over spent, you have the shale plays exploding, china’s housing bubble and when investors begin to panic big money will be moving very fast for safety. At first big money will move to the USD and into US bonds but as the sovereign debts start to explode, investors will panic and dive for equities which could see the S&P go through the roof. All that cheap USD out there in emerging markets will blow up because the USD value will go through the roof. All I hope is that I can give my kids a decent Christmas like last year.

    • Agreed. The duck are lining, we are just waiting for Daddy Duck to come by. When that one is aligned as well, the parade will unfold fast.

      For years the US had exported their Dollar debt around the world. The consequence of this is that Trillions are waiting to come back home… the problem, of course, is that once those Dollars head back home the current value of the Dollar will plunge… the other nations will freak out and get rid of their own Dollars, dumping them back to the US as well.

      All in all the main result is that the US debt (today 18 trillions) will increase SUDDENLY, and that will make the Financial world panic even more because it is never a good thing when something happen suddenly – the reaction is usually extreme which makes things worse.

      All of this happening in an already volatile Market were people are afraid of what is coming next (“My word we re in deep sh** “), or on the other extreme live as if we were in Fantasyland (“yeaaah the Stocks are climbing, this world is so beautiful”).

      If we take only one or two of the numbers given by Michael in his articles it does not really seems so terrible (just one or two sick trees in the forest), but when we do diligence and put ALL the numbers and charts together the overall picture is freaking me out (the whole forest is sick).

    • CharlesH

      Treat your children very well for they will determine where you live when you’re very old. Enjoy!

  • XSANDIEGOCA

    Increasingly, I am of the opinion the country died in Dallas in 1963.

    • Ace

      Plausible but wasn’t that more a substitution of top guys?

      1913 is a better candidate year. Even that was just a manifestation of the underlying corruption of Americans. Tax “them” so “we” can be better off. FDR was just riding the coat tails of that when he learned you can buy votes with taxes taken from voters.

      1861. Even better.

      • XSANDIEGOCA

        Can’t argue with the history but LBJ represented the real Sea Change. FDR was quite significant but it was Long Ears Lyndon that really started the boulder crashing down the slope. JFK would be disowned by the Democratic Party of today. His passing was a catastrophe given what came after. Never thought I would see his likes again. Boy, was I wrong.

        • Ace

          I think LBJ was a rabid right winger compared to this clown.

          • XSANDIEGOCA

            Astonishing but true.

    • laura m.

      Some experts say the country died in 1912 after death of queen Victoria, the bankers merged with corp. America and formed/planned world gov. Federal Reserve act then in 1921 CFR was formed then after ww2 things happened as planned w/forming the UN/league of nations, then on to corp gov churches under IRS control in 1954. Korea and other no win wars to the present time.

      • XSANDIEGOCA

        I was not alive then so I can not say but I was alive when Kennedy was shot and shortly thereafter LBJ, one of the biggest frauds to ever occupy the White House (some say he was in charge of a cabal that had JFK murdered), sent my young a$$ off to Vietnam and the World was forever changed.

      • Rocketman

        Keywords: “the bankers” | “corp. America and formed/planned world gov”

        The bottom line: follow the money.

    • phillip

      No, it died in 1861….

      • XSANDIEGOCA

        I can see your point. Let’s call it Taps in 1963.

  • Forget this crap.
    Who won American Idol???
    Prepared, buddy I am prepared.
    I got TWO cases of beer and TWO BIG bags of chips and I am just waiting for the BIG one to hit…

  • DJohn1

    What you are saying is every working person in this country should take the day off. Better yet take the week off. If you can afford it, take the month off. Go on vacation.
    Because if what you are saying is true then you are working for nothing. Every dime is already slated to disappear in a cloud of smoke at your local financial institution.
    That institution might be a bank, a credit union, or even a payroll cashing place.
    The point is if the money is not worth the paper it is printed on, why are you still working to make more of it?
    And I think that is what other countries are seeing right now as well.
    Only a lot of them have a much nicer social cushion in government payments than what we do.
    And who finances that? Near as I can tell we do.
    I look at what you describe as going on. I applaud your research and your ability to put into language we all can understand.
    What the planners have planned for all of us? Don’t know but it surely does not look good.
    It is probably time to look at who gains, who loses, and who gets their pensions stolen right out from under them.
    How do you steal something like pensions and Social Security out from under the general public?
    You make the money supply so worthless that it doesn’t pay for anything. Then you proceed to ruin the old, the poor, and everyone else you can.
    So even if you are set up with decent pensions coming in we are all basically ruined by the current system in the long run.
    The bankers, the government, the pensions, they all owe huge amounts of money they have no intention of every paying back in dollars worth what they are today. They intend to pay it all back at approximately 10 cents(in today’s money) on the dollar.
    That is really what this is all about. Cheat the general public out of anything they have saved.

    • GSOB

      ..”make the money supply so worthless that it doesn’t pay for anything..”
      Inflation

    • Outtaworktoolong

      Cheating the public and money becoming worthless is a fairly common theme in South American countries. What is scary is how quickly people get used to it.

  • NRP

    With all the news I’m reading I agree. The stock market hasn’t been forced to adjust yet. When we look back it will be the drop in price of crude oil that started it December-January 2014 to February 2015. The Stock market doesn’t seem attached to anything realistic. I think we are already in this thing and there is no turning back.

  • mike day

    NUTS

    • GSOB

      One measure of leadership is the caliber of people who choose to follow you.

  • rat28

    2015 is very different from 2008.. CB around the world has the liquidity (aka money printing ) to firewall and contain the crisis. In addition, they have 7 years of experience in subduing any plunge in the financial markets. We all can sleep well..

  • The watchman blowing a trumpet

    Ladies and gentlemen, it is time to repent, and purify your hearts. A Holy God is bringing UNPRESEDENTED JUDGEMENT!! Keep
    Remember what God did to Sodom & Gomorah?? Sodom & Gomorah had no BIBLES!!! There was no accountability !!!! None, zero, nada !!!!!! How much for us ??????????

  • SeekingAlpha has everything to gain at being rosy or avoid the darkest part of the actual Economy in their newsletter, it is their job to “help” their customers stay put with them.

    They are precisely the kind of business which can not afford showing the blunt reality of what is going on, if not they risk closing down… They must stay positive…

  • EyesOpen

    Hmm….us humans. Masters of misery. Luke 21:25 ““And there will be signs in sun and moon and stars, and on the earth
    distress of nations in perplexity because of the roaring of the sea and
    the waves,” Apparently, according to Revelation 17:15 these “seas” represent people and nations. Revelation 17:15 “Then the angel said to me, “The waters where the prostitute is ruling represent masses of people of every nation and language.” Look around and you can easily see the world wide turmoil and distress in society fulfilling Bible prophecy. It won’t be too much longer, your deliverance is getting near.

    • GSOB

      If there is any chronologically precise statement in this symbolic book, Rev. 17:10 should certainly be it.

      The one who ‘is’ will be the king alive and ruling at the time John wrote Revelation.

      Learn the dates of his reign. It will serve as the termini within, which Revelation was composed. (Not A.D. 90)

      ….the emperors of Rome, the line of the Caesars…where ruling at that time….

      External, historical facts…

      A Jewish writer,
      Flavius Josephus,
      from Palestine,
      his works were written for both the Romans and the Jews
      (A.D. 37-101)

      Julius Caesar 49-44 B.C.

      Augustus 31 B.C. – A.D. 14

      Tiberius A.D. 14-37

      Gaius, also know as Caligula A.D. 37-41

      Claudius A.D. 54-68

      Nero A.D. 54-68

      Galba A.D. 68-69

      Vitellius A.D. 69

      Vespasian A.D. 69-79

      Revelation 17:10 says:
      “They are seven kings; five have fallen,
      i.e.., Julius, Augustus, Tiberius, Caligula and Claudius,
      … one is, i.e., Nero,
      the other has not yet come; and when he comes, he must remain a little while, i.e., Galba reigned from June, 68 to January, 69.

      The book of the Revelation of Jesus Christ must be dated in the reign of Nero Caesar, and consequently, before his death in June A.D. 68.

      He (Nero) is the king, the short lived of the seventh king (Galba) ‘has yet to come’.

      This is strong enough evidence to obviate a late date for Revelation.

      Satan has deceived with the late date and with dispensationalism..

  • jbperez808

    Isn’t the BDI falling because oil is falling?

    This one-track-mind blog is like Debbie Downer… depressing.

  • CharlesH

    Michael – your articles always give me pause besides making me very uncomfortable. That being said – I’d much rather be dealing with reality knowing the facts than being like so many other people who are content on going to the mall for whatever or having my face literally stuck to my phone texting some nonsensical bs. I always come away smarter after reading your articles – all of them! Thanks for everything you do for us Michael – there are those of us starving for the truth not manipulated “facts”.

  • Messenger

    The end

  • Bill

    I utterly hate you…

    ‘So does all of this mean that the stock market is guaranteed to crash in 2015? No, of course not.’

    What the hell is your fear mongering point of existence?

    If you readers want real financial news, look up Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, at the Telegraphs UK website

    • David

      Bill, Hate pretty strong words? I went to your site looks interesting. Thanks I always like another view. It does appear that site is making close claims. It is not good by any account. Please correct me if I am wrong

  • shareefah

    So can someone tell me what year this the actual collapse will happen?

    • GSOB

      Drowning in data, yet starved of information.

  • Robert C.

    I was sadden when Radio Shack closed for good. Now, I been seeing a lot of retail stores close their door and prices on food went up a lot lately. Get prepared.

  • Cal Wayback

    The Federal Reserve was the cause of the last Great Depression according to former Fed Chief Bernanke and the Fed will trigger the next Depression…call it the GREAT GREAT GREAT Depression if you will. There is no meaningful economic news anywhere to bolster this market. It’s Fed driven with their 0% interest rates and QE propping up this market hence a house of cards ready to collapse impovershing what’s left of the middle class and ruining wealthy people as well. I notice many American citizens are leaving this country for good. I don’t blame them. I would be going to places like Liechtenstein too if I could afford it and at least have a measure of peace and safety when the big crash comes. The US is kaput…for evil to prosper good men do nothing. That’s been going on for 50 years now…the chickens have come home to roost and don’t expect the GOP to save us. They failed under Clinton and they have already failed under Obama. Historians one day will try to figure out how the greatest nation there ever was fall into oblivion so quickly. Ask God when you see him someday no doubt he will have plenty to say.

    • 35wormhole

      lets fundamentally transform america

  • The collapse is not going to come immediately. This bubble, the bubble of financial capitalism, will last until the people are ground to dust and there is no wealth left to extract from the carcass of industry.

  • GSOB

    Management is doing things right; leadership is doing the right things.

  • Sack man

    I am grateful. Grateful that I have been fully invested in the stock market. Never bought a hybrid. Worked hard at 2 jobs. Never panicked like it’s doomsday. Saved a lot of money. And didn’t get influenced by the crisis of the day. Never bought gold. Borrowed money at low rates. Had another kid. Saved for both college expenses. Our retirement.

  • Donald Wilson

    It doesn’t matter when it hits millions will be unprepared for the coming economic disaster. I don’t have any investments I dumped my 401K back in 2006 after I retired from FedEx, glad I did because in just 24 months Merrill Lynch took a nose dive and I would have lost everything. Shortly after the debacle Bank of America was enticed by then Sec. of Treasury Hank Paulson to make the purchase or suffer the slings and arrows. The rest as you would is history. When the economic collapse finally occurs and the debt and the USD blows up in our faces all those who have savings (i.e., IRA, 401K, etc…) will see their life savings evaporate like the early mist on a warm summer morning. Good luck and Good night…

    Bravo Two Zero out

  • ProclaimingGodsTruth

    It’s a Shmittah year – 2015. A time of shaking, remission of debt and falling for nations that have forgotten God and driven Him out of their lives.
    For an example of what happened in prev years take a look at 2001 and 2008. Will it happen again in 2015? It could and if it does, who’s ready? Who’s been alert and paying attention?
    +++
    If it doesn’t well then OK but … but … but if it does look out it will be bad, real bad. We are being given many red flags or signs. What’s your take? Are you ready?
    +++
    If it happens many will be devastated and stunned? How to prepare? Not with gold and silver for they will be thrown into the streets. Prepare with your anchor of faith and trust solidly in the Lord Jesus Christ.

  • Chris Gridley

    Two words: “Fed Put”…

  • FortuneSeek3rz

    There is no collapse people. Think back to the Great Depression which was followed by WWII. Those times were very tough times and people often spoke of the end of the world and the end time prophecies. But one of the greatest bull markets of all time emerged after the war was over and the troops came home. And that is happening again now after the Great Recession and the end of the War in Iraq. So many people have missed the boat out of ignorance which is a shame.

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