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	<title>Home Sales &#8211; The Economic Collapse</title>
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	<link>http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com</link>
	<description>Are You Prepared For The Coming Economic Collapse And The Next Great Depression?</description>
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		<title>The Great Relocation: Americans Are Relocating By The Millions Because They Can Feel What Is Coming</title>
		<link>http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/the-great-relocation-americans-are-relocating-by-the-millions-because-they-can-feel-what-is-coming/</link>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2020 03:43:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Buy Homes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Buying Homes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Homes For Sale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/?p=17876</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>This is a really odd time to be having a &#8220;housing boom&#8221;.  We are in the middle of the worst public health crisis in 100 years, endless civil unrest has been ravaging many of our largest cities, and we are experiencing the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression of the 1930s.  But even though ... <a title="The Great Relocation: Americans Are Relocating By The Millions Because They Can Feel What Is Coming" class="read-more" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/the-great-relocation-americans-are-relocating-by-the-millions-because-they-can-feel-what-is-coming/">Read more</a></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/the-great-relocation-americans-are-relocating-by-the-millions-because-they-can-feel-what-is-coming/">The Great Relocation: Americans Are Relocating By The Millions Because They Can Feel What Is Coming</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/the-great-relocation-americans-are-relocating-by-the-millions-because-they-can-feel-what-is-coming/relocating-pixabay#main" rel="attachment wp-att-17878"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-17878" src="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Relocating-Pixabay-560x361.jpg" alt="" width="560" height="361" srcset="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Relocating-Pixabay-560x361.jpg 560w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Relocating-Pixabay-300x193.jpg 300w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Relocating-Pixabay-768x495.jpg 768w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Relocating-Pixabay.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 560px) 100vw, 560px" /></a>This is a really odd time to be having a &#8220;housing boom&#8221;.  We are in the middle of the worst public health crisis in 100 years, endless civil unrest has been ravaging many of our largest cities, and we are experiencing the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression of the 1930s.  But even though more than 70 million Americans have filed new claims for unemployment benefits this year, home sales are absolutely rocking.  How in the world is this possible?</p>
<p>Well, this phenomenon is actually quite easy to explain.  As our society comes apart at the seams all around us, vast numbers of Americans are seeking greener pastures.  According to ABC News, the chaotic events of 2020 have caused <a href="https://www.yahoo.com/gma/millions-americans-relocating-amid-covid-200346157.html">&#8220;millions of Americans&#8221;</a> to relocate.  In New York City alone, <a href="https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8949713/More-300-000-New-Yorkers-fled-Big-Apple-eight-months.html">more than 300,000 former residents</a> have permanently moved to new addresses.</p>
<p>We have never seen anything quite like this before, and it is anticipated that this trend will continue into 2021.  Even though most Americans don&#8217;t know exactly what is ahead, I think that on some level many of them <a href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08DJ6Y81Q">can feel what is coming</a>, and they are getting out of the big cities while they still can.</p>
<p>So even though we are literally in the midst of a horrifying economic depression, homes <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/19/success/existing-home-sales-october/index.html">are selling like hotcakes right now</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Home sales rose again in October, at their highest pace in 14 years, according to the National Association of Realtors.</p>
<p>But a record low inventory of available homes and a greater number of luxury homes sold have pushed the median home price up to a record $313,000, almost 16% more than a year ago.</p></blockquote>
<p>With so many interested buyers and such little inventory, it has definitely become <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/19/success/existing-home-sales-october/index.html">a seller&#8217;s market</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>At the current pace of sales, it would take just 2.5 months to clear the existing inventory — a record low.</p></blockquote>
<p>If you want to sell your home, now is a really good time to do so.</p>
<p>But then good luck finding a new place.</p>
<p>This incredible surge in demand for housing has also fueled a tremendous boom <a href="http://eyeonhousing.org/2020/11/single-family-starts-oct/">in housing starts</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Single-family starts experienced continued gains in October, according to data from the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the Census Bureau. Single-family construction is up 8.6% year-to-date, with notable gains in 2020 for the Midwest and other lower-density markets.</p>
<p>The pace of single-family starts in October was the highest production rate since the spring of 2007.</p></blockquote>
<p>So even though so many other sectors of the economy are deeply hurting at the moment, those that build homes are loving life right now.</p>
<p>Real estate websites are also doing extremely well.  In particular, &#8220;Zillow surfing&#8221; has become <a href="https://dnyuz.com/2020/11/19/zillow-surfing-is-the-escape-we-all-need-right-now/">a new national pastime</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Zillow usage has climbed since March, with online visitors to for-sale listings up more than 50 percent year-over-year in the early months of the pandemic.</p>
<p>People bond over listings on Discord servers, group chats and “Zillow Twitter,” and their obsession has made many <a title="" href="https://www.realtor.com/news/unique-homes/former-sheriffs-house-with-jail-viral-sensation/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">strange</a> and <a title="" href="https://waxy.org/2020/10/the-house-on-blue-lick-road/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">obscure listings go viral</a>. Curbed, a website covering city life, real estate and design, recently started a column called My Week in Zillow Saves, in which people (<a title="" href="https://www.curbed.com/2020/11/taylor-lorenz-week-in-zillow-saves.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">myself included</a>) share the homes they’ve admired on the site.</p></blockquote>
<p>If you can believe it, &#8220;Zillow surfing&#8221; has become <a href="https://dnyuz.com/2020/11/19/zillow-surfing-is-the-escape-we-all-need-right-now/">&#8220;especially popular among teenagers&#8221;</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Zillow surfing is especially popular among teenagers. A TikTok meme over the summer consisted of users talking about knowing where the bathrooms were in their friend’s or crush’s house before ever visiting it because they had toured all of their classmates’ homes on Zillow. Many young people have extensive lists of saved homes and discuss and share listings with friends.</p></blockquote>
<p>When life is miserable, people like to daydream about something better, and &#8220;Zillow surfing&#8221; allows them to do that.</p>
<p>Personally, I have been hearing from so many people that have either recently relocated or that would like to move.  So many that I know are feeling an urgency like never before, because they sense that really dark times are fast approaching.</p>
<p>Interestingly, one of the most important things that people look at when they are thinking of relocating is the political orientation of an area.  In fact, <a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/42-of-americans-are-hesitant-to-move-to-a-place-where-theyd-be-in-the-political-minority-up-from-32-in-june-301160320.html">one recent survey</a> found that 42 percent of Americans &#8220;would be hesitant to move to an area where most people have political views different from their own&#8221;&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Forty-two percent of U.S. residents would be hesitant to move to an area where most people have political views different from their own, up from 32% in June, according to a <u><a href="https://c212.net/c/link/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2962026-1&amp;h=1458935360&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2Fnews%2Fmoving-political-racial-diversity-survey%2F&amp;a=new+report" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">new report</a></u> from Redfin (<u><a href="https://c212.net/c/link/?t=0&amp;l=en&amp;o=2962026-1&amp;h=2078116518&amp;u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redfin.com%2F&amp;a=redfin.com" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">redfin.com</a></u>), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. That&#8217;s the highest share since 2017, when Redfin began posing this question to survey respondents.</p></blockquote>
<p>Increasingly, Democrats are moving to &#8220;blue states&#8221; and conservatives are moving to &#8220;red states&#8221;.</p>
<p>Could this potentially have some very serious implications down the road?</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t know.  I am just asking the question.</p>
<p>For other Americans, leaving the country entirely <a href="https://www.theday.com/article/20201103/NWS13/201109777">seems like a promising option</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Americans are leaving the country or seeking foreign visas in record numbers, according to immigration lawyers and expatriate organizations, during an oppressive year of political violence, racial strife and an uncontrolled pandemic that has kept families locked in their homes for months &#8211; with no clear end in sight.</p></blockquote>
<p>As the economic suffering in the U.S. intensifies, the number of people wanting to leave will almost certainly go even higher.</p>
<p>With each passing day, more new restrictions are being put in place to try to control the COVID pandemic, and these new restrictions are going to make our ongoing economic depression a whole lot worse.</p>
<p>Already, it has become clear that another huge wave of economic pain is upon us.</p>
<p>The Greater Los Angeles Food Bank says that demand is up <a href="http://themostimportantnews.com/archives/the-greater-la-food-bank-says-demand-this-year-is-up-145">145 percent</a> compared to last year, and the other day people waited <a href="https://twitter.com/CBSNews/status/1328370997125410817">in absolutely massive lines</a> for up to 12 hours at a food bank in Texas just to get some food.</p>
<p>Other Americans are stockpiling <a href="http://themostimportantnews.com/archives/this-huge-pile-of-toilet-paper-is-causing-quite-an-uproar-on-social-media">huge quantities of toilet paper</a> and other supplies in anticipation of a very difficult winter.</p>
<p>No matter what happens with the election, things are about to get really crazy in this country.</p>
<p>Whatever you need to do to get prepared for what is ahead, I would do it as soon as possible.</p>
<p>The clock is ticking, and it appears that our day of reckoning is nearly here.</p>
<p><strong>***Michael’s new book entitled “Lost Prophecies Of The Future Of America” is now available <a title="in paperback" href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/B08DBNHDJS" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">in paperback</a> and <a title="for the Kindle" href="https://www.amazon.com/Prophecies-Future-America-Michael-Snyder-ebook/dp/B08DJ6Y81Q/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">for the Kindle</a> on Amazon.***</strong></p>
<p><a href="https://amzn.to/3nj2f1e" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-17619" src="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Lost-Prophecies-Of-The-Future-Of-America-560x840.jpg" sizes="(max-width: 560px) 100vw, 560px" srcset="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Lost-Prophecies-Of-The-Future-Of-America-560x840.jpg 560w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Lost-Prophecies-Of-The-Future-Of-America-200x300.jpg 200w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Lost-Prophecies-Of-The-Future-Of-America-768x1152.jpg 768w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Lost-Prophecies-Of-The-Future-Of-America.jpg 907w" alt="" width="560" height="840" /></a></p>
<p><strong>About the Author</strong>: My name is Michael Snyder and my brand new book entitled <a title="“Lost Prophecies Of The Future Of America”" href="https://amzn.to/2CU4JB0" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">“Lost Prophecies Of The Future Of America”</a> is now available <a title="on Amazon.com" href="https://amzn.to/2CU4JB0" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">on Amazon.com</a>.  In addition to my new book, I have written four others that are available <a title="on Amazon.com" href="https://amzn.to/2Br7dm0" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">on Amazon.com</a> including <a title="The Beginning Of The End" href="https://amzn.to/2WAovFI" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Beginning Of The End</a>, <a title="Get Prepared Now" href="https://amzn.to/2HS2mzf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Get Prepared Now</a>, and <a title="Living A Life That Really Matters" href="https://amzn.to/2FzGaGw" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Living A Life That Really Matters</a>. (#CommissionsEarned)  By purchasing the books you help to support the work that my wife and I are doing, and by giving it to others you help to multiply the impact that we are having on people all over the globe.  I have published thousands of articles on <a title="The Economic Collapse Blog" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Economic Collapse Blog</a>, <a title="End Of The American Dream" href="http://endoftheamericandream.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">End Of The American Dream</a> and <a title="The Most Important News" href="http://themostimportantnews.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Most Important News</a>, and the articles that I publish on those sites are republished on dozens of other prominent websites all over the globe.  I always freely and happily allow others to republish my articles on their own websites, but I also ask that they include this “About the Author” section with each article.  The material contained in this article is for general information purposes only, and readers should consult licensed professionals before making any legal, business, financial or health decisions.  I encourage you to follow me on social media on <a title="Facebook" href="https://www.facebook.com/michael.snyder.5076" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Facebook</a>, <a title="Twitter" href="https://twitter.com/Revelation1217" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Twitter</a> and <a title="Parler" href="https://parler.com/profile/MichaelTSnyder/posts" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Parler</a>, and any way that you can share these articles with others is a great help.  During these very challenging times, people will need hope more than ever before, and it is our goal <a title="to share the gospel of Jesus Christ" href="http://themostimportantnews.com/important-thing" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">to share the gospel of Jesus Christ</a> with as many people as we possibly can.</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/the-great-relocation-americans-are-relocating-by-the-millions-because-they-can-feel-what-is-coming/">The Great Relocation: Americans Are Relocating By The Millions Because They Can Feel What Is Coming</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Do You Remember The Oil Crisis And &#8220;Stagflation&#8221; Of The 1970s? In Many Ways, 2019 Is Starting To Look A Lot Like 1973&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/do-you-remember-the-oil-crisis-and-stagflation-of-the-1970s-in-many-ways-2019-is-starting-to-look-a-lot-like-1973/</link>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Apr 2019 03:06:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Buying A Home]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Depressing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gas Price]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gas Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Price Of Gas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Price Of Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stagflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Price Of Gas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Price Of Gasoline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Price Of Oil]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/?p=15263</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The price of gasoline is rapidly rising, economic activity is slowing down, the Middle East appears to be on the brink of war, and Democrats are trying to find a way to remove a Republican president from office.  In many ways, 2019 is starting to look a lot like 1973.  For many Americans, the 1970s ... <a title="Do You Remember The Oil Crisis And &#8220;Stagflation&#8221; Of The 1970s? In Many Ways, 2019 Is Starting To Look A Lot Like 1973&#8230;" class="read-more" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/do-you-remember-the-oil-crisis-and-stagflation-of-the-1970s-in-many-ways-2019-is-starting-to-look-a-lot-like-1973/">Read more</a></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/do-you-remember-the-oil-crisis-and-stagflation-of-the-1970s-in-many-ways-2019-is-starting-to-look-a-lot-like-1973/">Do You Remember The Oil Crisis And &#8220;Stagflation&#8221; Of The 1970s? In Many Ways, 2019 Is Starting To Look A Lot Like 1973&#8230;</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/do-you-remember-the-oil-crisis-and-stagflation-of-the-1970s-in-many-ways-2019-is-starting-to-look-a-lot-like-1973/1973-ford-maverick-public-domain#main" rel="attachment wp-att-15267"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-15267" src="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/1973-Ford-Maverick-Public-Domain-540x294.jpg" alt="" width="540" height="294" srcset="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/1973-Ford-Maverick-Public-Domain-540x294.jpg 540w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/1973-Ford-Maverick-Public-Domain-300x164.jpg 300w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/1973-Ford-Maverick-Public-Domain-768x419.jpg 768w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/1973-Ford-Maverick-Public-Domain.jpg 1599w" sizes="(max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px" /></a>The price of gasoline is rapidly rising, economic activity is slowing down, the Middle East appears to be on the brink of war, and Democrats are trying to find a way to remove a Republican president from office.  In many ways, 2019 is starting to look a lot like 1973.  For many Americans, the 1970s represent a rather depressing chapter in U.S. history that they would just like to forget, but the truth is that if we do not learn from history it is much more likely that we will repeat our mistakes.  And without a doubt, right now a lot of things are starting to move in a very ominous direction.</p>
<p>&#8220;Stagflation&#8221; was a term that was made popular in the 1970s, and it occurs when there is a high rate of inflation but economic growth is declining or stagnant.</p>
<p>The U.S. hasn&#8217;t had a serious bout with stagflation in quite a while, but it appears that we may be moving in that direction.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s talk about the slowdown in the economy first.  On Monday, we learned that sales of existing homes in the U.S. <a href="https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/home-sales-fall-4-9-in-slow-start-to-spring-buying-season">were way down in March</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Home sales are struggling to rebound after slumping in the second half of last year, when a jump in mortgage rates to nearly 5% discouraged many would-be buyers. Spring buying is so far running behind last year&#8217;s healthy gains: Sales were 5.4% below where they were a year earlier.</p></blockquote>
<p>On a year over year basis, existing home sales have now fallen <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/bfm28E3.jpg?itok=bZ_MBy4R">for 13 months in a row</a>.</p>
<p>That is terrible, and there is no way to &#8220;spin&#8221; that fact to make it look good.</p>
<p>We also learned on Monday that Office Depot is closing <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/office-depot-closing-stores-list-2019-4">50 stores</a>.  Of course this is just the continuation of a trend that <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/">The Economic Collapse Blog</a> has been tracking for quite some time.</p>
<p>Overall, U.S. retailers have already announced more store closings in 2019 <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/its-only-april-and-u-s-retailers-have-already-closed-more-stores-than-they-did-all-of-last-year">than they did all of last year</a>, and we are on pace for the worst year for store closings in all of U.S. history.</p>
<p>Ouch.</p>
<p>I could go on and on listing more numbers that indicate that the U.S. economy has been slowing down, but I don&#8217;t want to repeat much of what I have already shared over the past several weeks.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, inflation is starting to rise significantly in some pretty key areas.  Previously I have explained <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/hundreds-of-millions-of-pigs-feared-dead-from-swine-fever-price-of-pork-has-risen-38-percent-in-the-last-4-weeks">why food prices are beginning to move up aggressively</a>, and now gas prices are starting to make national headlines once again.</p>
<p>For example, the price of gas in the state of California just hit the highest level <a href="https://ktla.com/2019/04/17/california-gas-prices-hit-average-of-4-highest-in-the-state-since-2014/?mc_cid=3eae758cb2&amp;mc_eid=d1f5987f83">in nearly five years</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>California&#8217;s gas prices continued to climb Wednesday, hitting the highest levels in almost five years.</p>
<p>Motorists throughout the Golden State are paying an average of $4.01 for a gallon of regular gasoline, by far the highest in the country and well above the national average of $2.83, according to a news release from AAA.</p></blockquote>
<p>The primary factor driving up the price of oil is geopolitical wrangling in the Middle East.  According to <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/22/energy-prices-up-on-reported-end-to-sanctions-waiver-for-iranian-oil.html">CNBC</a>, President Trump intends to stop Iran from exporting any oil at all&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Oil prices surged about 3% at midday on Monday, hitting fresh 2019 highs, after the Trump administration announced that all oil buyers will have to end imports from Iran in just over a week or be subject to U.S. sanctions.</p>
<p>The administration said the State Department will cease granting sanctions waivers to any country still importing Iranian crude or condensate, an ultra-light form of crude oil, after May 2.</p></blockquote>
<p>If President Trump is successful, it will eliminate approximately a million barrels of oil per day from the global marketplace.</p>
<p>That is a big deal.</p>
<p>And this comes at a time when oil prices have already been steadily rising.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, Iran doesn&#8217;t plan to take this move lying down, and their response could potentially spark a full-blown oil crisis.</p>
<p>According to <a href="https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/iran-will-close-strait-of-hormuz-if-it-can-t-use-it-fars">Bloomberg</a>, Iran is actually threatening to close the Strait of Hormuz for all commerce&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Iran will close the Strait of Hormuz, a waterway vital for global oil shipments, if the country is prevented from using it, a senior military official said on Monday in what appears to be a response to the U.S. plan to end waivers on Iranian oil exports.</p>
<p>“If we are prevented from using it, we will close it,” the state-run Fars news agency reported, citing Alireza Tangsiri, head of the Revolutionary Guard Corps navy force. “In the event of any threats, we will not have the slightest hesitation to protect and defend Iran’s waterway.”</p></blockquote>
<p>If Iran did such a thing, it would throw global oil markets into a state of tremendous turmoil, and it would bring us much, much closer to war with Iran.</p>
<p>In recent days the Iranians and the Trump administration have been trading very angry words, and it certainly doesn&#8217;t help that the Iranians just appointed a certified hothead <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/iran-replaces-head-of-hardline-irgc-force-weeks-after-terror-blacklisting/">as the leader of the Republican Guards</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Salami has frequently vowed to destroy Israel and “break America.” Iran was “planning to break America, Israel, and their partners and allies. Our ground forces should cleanse the planet from the filth of their existence,” Salami <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/iranian-general-we-plan-to-break-us-israel-cleanse-world-of-their-filth/">said in February</a>. The previous month, <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/iran-general-says-tehran-aims-to-wipe-israel-off-the-political-map-report/">he vowed</a> to wipe Israel off the “global political map,” and to <a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/iran-threatens-israel-with-inferno-vows-to-improve-missile-accuracy/">unleash an “inferno”</a> on the Jewish state.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-iranian-general-we-can-destroy-israel-in-three-days/">He also said</a> “Iran has warned the Zionist regime not to play with fire, because they will be destroyed before the US helps them.” Any new war, he said, “will result in Israel’s defeat within three days, in a way that they will not find enough graves to bury their dead.”</p></blockquote>
<p>Hossein Salami is a complete and total nutjob, and I am entirely convinced that he actually wants a war with the United States and Israel.</p>
<p>For a long time I have been warning <a href="https://amzn.to/2XAMF3y">that we need to watch the Middle East</a>, and a major regional war could potentially erupt at any time.</p>
<p>Let us hope that cooler heads prevail, because a full-blown war involving Iran, Israel and the United States would mean an immense amount of death and destruction.</p>
<p>For the moment, things are relatively calm in the United States, but most Americans don&#8217;t realize that we are actually in a very precarious position.</p>
<p>It isn&#8217;t going to take much for global events to reach a tipping point, and once they do there will be no going back.</p>
<p><a href="https://amzn.to/2HS2mzf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><img class="wp-image-5975 alignleft" src="http://endoftheamericandream.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Get-Prepared-Now.png" sizes="(max-width: 243px) 100vw, 243px" srcset="http://endoftheamericandream.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Get-Prepared-Now.png 333w, http://endoftheamericandream.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Get-Prepared-Now-250x300.png 250w, http://endoftheamericandream.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Get-Prepared-Now-125x150.png 125w, http://endoftheamericandream.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Get-Prepared-Now-300x360.png 300w" alt="Get Prepared Now" width="243" height="291" /></a><em>About the author: <a title="Michael Snyder" href="https://amzn.to/2CKeYnY" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Michael Snyder</a> is a nationally-syndicated writer, media personality and political activist. He is the author of four books including <a title="Get Prepared Now" href="https://amzn.to/2HS2mzf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Get Prepared Now</a>, <a title="The Beginning Of The End" href="https://amzn.to/2WAovFI" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Beginning Of The End</a> and <a title="Living A Life That Really Matters" href="https://amzn.to/2FzGaGw" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Living A Life That Really Matters</a>. His articles are originally published on <a title="The Economic Collapse Blog" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Economic Collapse Blog</a>, <a title="End Of The American Dream" href="http://endoftheamericandream.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">End Of The American Dream</a> and <a title="The Most Important News" href="http://themostimportantnews.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Most Important News</a>. From there, his articles are republished on dozens of other prominent websites. If you would like to republish his articles, please feel free to do so. The more people that see this information the better, and we need to wake more people up while there is still time.</em></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/do-you-remember-the-oil-crisis-and-stagflation-of-the-1970s-in-many-ways-2019-is-starting-to-look-a-lot-like-1973/">Do You Remember The Oil Crisis And &#8220;Stagflation&#8221; Of The 1970s? In Many Ways, 2019 Is Starting To Look A Lot Like 1973&#8230;</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
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		<title>Stocks Plunge, Consumer Pessimism Grows And U.S. Home Sales Just Hit Their Lowest Level In 3 Years</title>
		<link>http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/stocks-plunge-consumer-pessimism-grows-and-u-s-home-sales-just-hit-their-lowest-level-in-3-years/</link>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jan 2019 04:10:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2019]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[A Recession In 2019]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Depressed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Depression 2019]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Fundamentals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Sellers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Homeownership Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Bubble 1]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Bubble 2]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Crash]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Recovery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investors Beware]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Defaults]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paying Cash]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Crash]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Collapse 2019]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Crash 2019]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Global Recession Of 2019]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Stock Market Crash Of 2019]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The U.S. Economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/?p=14855</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>It appears to be more likely than ever that the U.S. economy is heading for a recession.  On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 301 points as investors were rattled by several very important pieces of news.  Back in 2008, home sales began to fall precipitously just prior to the financial crisis in ... <a title="Stocks Plunge, Consumer Pessimism Grows And U.S. Home Sales Just Hit Their Lowest Level In 3 Years" class="read-more" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/stocks-plunge-consumer-pessimism-grows-and-u-s-home-sales-just-hit-their-lowest-level-in-3-years/">Read more</a></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/stocks-plunge-consumer-pessimism-grows-and-u-s-home-sales-just-hit-their-lowest-level-in-3-years/">Stocks Plunge, Consumer Pessimism Grows And U.S. Home Sales Just Hit Their Lowest Level In 3 Years</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/stocks-plunge-consumer-pessimism-grows-and-u-s-home-sales-just-hit-their-lowest-level-in-3-years/home-sales-public-domain#main" rel="attachment wp-att-14857"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-14857" src="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Home-Sales-Public-Domain-540x410.jpg" alt="" width="540" height="410" srcset="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Home-Sales-Public-Domain-540x410.jpg 540w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Home-Sales-Public-Domain-300x228.jpg 300w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Home-Sales-Public-Domain-768x583.jpg 768w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Home-Sales-Public-Domain.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px" /></a>It appears to be more likely than ever that the U.S. economy is heading for a recession.  On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 301 points as investors were rattled by several very important pieces of news.  Back in 2008, home sales began to fall precipitously just prior to the financial crisis in the second half of that year, and now it is happening again.  Of course home sales are always going up and down, but the numbers that we are seeing now are definitely very unusual.  According to the National Association of Realtors, existing home sales just hit their lowest level <a href="https://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/stock-trade-lower-on-imf-global-growth-outlook">in 3 years</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>U.S. home sales tumbled to their lowest level in three years last month and house price increases slowed sharply, suggesting a further loss of momentum in the housing market.</p>
<p>The National Association of Realtors said on Tuesday existing home sales declined 6.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.99 million units last month &#8212; the lowest level since November 2015.</p></blockquote>
<p>And when you compare December 2018 to December 2017, the numbers look even worse.  According to <a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2019/01/22/us-home-sales-get-uglier/">Wolf Richter</a>, last month existing home sales were down 10.3 percent on a year over year basis&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Sales of “existing homes” — including single-family houses, townhouses, condos, and co-ops — in December, plunged 10.3% from a year earlier, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 4.99 million homes, according to the National Association of Realtors this morning. This was the biggest year-over-year drop since May 2011, during the throes of Housing Bust 1</p></blockquote>
<p>Those are absolutely horrible numbers, but thanks to high interest rates they aren&#8217;t going to get much better any time soon.  Just like a decade ago, this is going to be a very tough time to be in the real estate industry.</p>
<p>During the &#8220;boom years&#8221;, the west was the hottest region for real estate in the entire nation, but now it is leading the way down.  And last month was just abysmal, with sales falling <a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2019/01/22/us-home-sales-get-uglier/">15 percent</a> in that portion of the country&#8230;</p>
<ul>
<li>Northeast: -6.8%, to an annual rate of 690,000.</li>
<li>Midwest: -10.5%, to an annual rate of 1.19 million.</li>
<li>South: -5.4%, to an annual rate of 2.09 million.</li>
<li>West: -15.0%, to an annual rate of 1.02 million.</li>
</ul>
<p>Unfortunately, these are exactly the kinds of numbers that we would expect to see if the U.S. economy was heading into a recession.</p>
<p>Investors were also rattled on Tuesday by news that trade talks between the U.S. and China <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/22/us-markets-global-economy-us-china-trade-in-focus-.html">seem to be breaking down</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Stocks fell to their lows of the day after the Financial Times reported the U.S. canceled a trade meeting with Chinese officials. <a class="" tabindex="" title="" role="" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/22/us-cancels-trade-planning-meeting-with-china-source-says.html" target="" data-type="" aria-label="">CNBC later confirmed the report through a source</a>. White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow denied the reports, saying the meetings are not canceled, giving stocks a boost into the close. China and the U.S. are trying to strike a permanent trade deal with the U.S. Both countries have been in a trade war since last year, slapping tariffs on billions of dollars worth of their goods.</p></blockquote>
<p>We&#8217;ll see what happens, but the Chinese appear to be dragging their feet, and it does not look like there will be a major trade agreement between the two sides any time soon.</p>
<p>And when you throw in the fact that we are in the midst of the longest government shutdown in all of U.S. history, it becomes exceedingly clear that the elements for a &#8220;perfect storm&#8221; are definitely coming together.</p>
<p>In fact, Peter Schiff is <a href="http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/peter-schiff-the-recession-is-a-done-deal-thanks-to-the-feds-interest-rate-hikes_01222019">entirely convinced</a> that the coming recession is already &#8220;a done deal&#8221;&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;And they think simply because the Federal Reserve is no longer hiking rates that they no longer have to worry about the Fed pushing the economy into a recession. Well, it’s too late for that. <strong>The rate hikes of the past have already guaranteed that the economy is headed for recession. It doesn’t matter whether they continue to raise rates in the future. The recession is a done deal.</strong> It’s just now you have that calm between the storm while investors are still clueless and haven’t yet connected those, what should be, very obvious dots.<em>&#8220;</em></p></blockquote>
<p>When the next recession comes, you will know who to blame.  Every time the Federal Reserve has engaged in a rate hiking program since World War II, it has always ended in either a recession or a stock market crash.  The Fed is the reason why the U.S. economy has been on a roller coaster ride for decades, and now we are steamrolling directly toward the &#8220;bust&#8221; portion of this cycle.  If we ever want to end this madness, we need to abolish the Fed, and that means that we need to send people to Congress <a href="https://amzn.to/2DsAWNd">that are willing to take action on these things</a>.</p>
<p>Sadly, it is probably going to take a major collapse before abolishing the Fed becomes a big political issue again.  Economic issues have been on the back burner for a while, but that may be about to change, because pessimism about the economy is growing.  According to <a href="https://www.marketwatch.com/story/more-americans-are-feeling-more-pessimistic-about-the-economy-2019-01-22">Gallup</a>, the percentage of Americans that believe economic conditions are worsening has risen by 12 points over the past two months&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Americans are not feeling very confident about the economy these days.</p>
<p>Almost half (48%) of Americans say economic conditions are worsening, up from 45% in December and 36% in November, according to a recent poll by <a class="icon " href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/246179/americans-becoming-pessimistic-economy.aspx" target="_new">Gallup</a>, a Washington, D.C.-based research and consulting firm.</p></blockquote>
<p>This is more evidence of <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/the-psychological-bubble-that-has-been-propping-up-the-u-s-economy-is-starting-to-implode">the national psychological shift</a> that I have been talking about.  People are starting to realize what is happening, and they are becoming deeply concerned about what the future holds.</p>
<p>Well, the truth is that things are going to get a lot tougher.  But instead of getting down in the dumps about it, we need to prepare for what is ahead, and we need to be ready to implement some positive solutions in the aftermath of the coming crisis.</p>
<p><a href="http://amzn.to/1Qmqcif" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer"><img class="wp-image-5975 alignleft" src="http://endoftheamericandream.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/Get-Prepared-Now.png" alt="Get Prepared Now" width="243" height="291" /></a><em>About the author: <a title="Michael Snyder" href="https://amzn.to/2Lde1XM" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Michael Snyder</a> is a nationally-syndicated writer, media personality and political activist. He is the author of four books including <a title="Get Prepared Now" href="https://amzn.to/2PD2iTB" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Get Prepared Now</a>, <a title="The Beginning Of The End" href="https://amzn.to/2La6o4D" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Beginning Of The End</a> and <a title="Living A Life That Really Matters" href="https://amzn.to/2Lb80ez" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Living A Life That Really Matters</a>.  His articles are originally published on <a title="The Economic Collapse Blog" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/">The Economic Collapse Blog</a>, <a title="End Of The American Dream" href="http://endoftheamericandream.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">End Of The American Dream</a> and <a title="The Most Important News" href="http://themostimportantnews.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Most Important News</a>.  From there, his articles are republished on dozens of other prominent websites all over the nation.  If you would like to republish his articles, please feel free to do so.  The more people that see this information the better, and we need to wake more people up while there is still time.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/stocks-plunge-consumer-pessimism-grows-and-u-s-home-sales-just-hit-their-lowest-level-in-3-years/">Stocks Plunge, Consumer Pessimism Grows And U.S. Home Sales Just Hit Their Lowest Level In 3 Years</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
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		<title>3 Things That Happened Just Before The Crisis Of 2008 That Are Happening Again Right Now</title>
		<link>http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/3-things-that-happened-just-before-the-crisis-of-2008-that-are-happening-again-right-now/</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Nov 2018 03:32:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unemployment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Downturn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Optimism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Employment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Experts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Declines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Middle Class]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The U.S. Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/?p=14599</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Real estate, oil and the employment numbers are all telling us the same thing, and that is really bad news for the U.S. economy.  It really does appear that economic activity is starting to slow down significantly, but just like in 2008 those that are running things don&#8217;t want to admit the reality of what ... <a title="3 Things That Happened Just Before The Crisis Of 2008 That Are Happening Again Right Now" class="read-more" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/3-things-that-happened-just-before-the-crisis-of-2008-that-are-happening-again-right-now/">Read more</a></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/3-things-that-happened-just-before-the-crisis-of-2008-that-are-happening-again-right-now/">3 Things That Happened Just Before The Crisis Of 2008 That Are Happening Again Right Now</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/3-things-that-happened-just-before-the-crisis-of-2008-that-are-happening-again-right-now/train-tracks-storm-clouds-public-domain#main" rel="attachment wp-att-14601"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-14601" src="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Train-Tracks-Storm-Clouds-Public-Domain-540x349.jpg" alt="" width="540" height="349" srcset="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Train-Tracks-Storm-Clouds-Public-Domain-540x349.jpg 540w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Train-Tracks-Storm-Clouds-Public-Domain-300x194.jpg 300w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Train-Tracks-Storm-Clouds-Public-Domain-768x496.jpg 768w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Train-Tracks-Storm-Clouds-Public-Domain.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px" /></a>Real estate, oil and the employment numbers are all telling us the same thing, and that is really bad news for the U.S. economy.  It really does appear that economic activity <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/11-signs-that-the-u-s-economy-is-starting-to-slow-down-dramatically">is starting to slow down significantly</a>, but just like in 2008 those that are running things don&#8217;t want to admit the reality of what we are facing.  Back then, Fed Chair Ben Bernanke insisted that the U.S. economy was not heading into a recession, and we later learned that a recession had already begun when he made that statement.  And as you will see at the end of this article, current Fed Chair Jerome Powell says that he is &#8220;very happy&#8221; with how the U.S. economy is performing, but he shouldn&#8217;t be so thrilled.  Signs of trouble are everywhere, and we just got several more pieces of troubling news.</p>
<p>Thanks to aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, the average rate on a 30 year mortgage is now up to about 4.8 percent.  Just like in 2008, that is killing the housing market and it has us on the precipice of another real estate meltdown.</p>
<p>And some of the markets that were once the hottest in the entire country are leading the way down.  For example, just check out what is happening <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/new-yorks-wealthiest-cut-losses-as-manhattan-real-estate-falters-1543508960">in Manhattan</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>In the third quarter, the median price for a one-bedroom Manhattan home was $815,000, down 4% from the same period in 2017. The volume of sales fell 12.7%.</p></blockquote>
<p>Of course things are even worse at the high end of the market.  Some Manhattan townhouses are selling for millions of dollars less than what they were originally listed for.</p>
<p>Sadly, Manhattan is far from alone.  Pending home sales are down all over the nation.  In October, U.S. pending home sales were down 4.6 percent on a year over year basis, and that was <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-29/pending-home-sales-plunge-weakest-2014">the tenth month in a row</a> that we have seen a decline&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Hope was high for a rebound (after new-home-sales slumped), but that was dashed as pending home sales plunged 2.6% MoM in October (well below the expected 0.5% MoM bounce).</p>
<p>Additionally, Pending Home Sales fell 4.6% YoY &#8211; the 10th consecutive month of annual declines&#8230;</p></blockquote>
<p>When something happens for 10 months in a row, I think that you can safely say that a trend has started.</p>
<p>Sales of new homes <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/much-worse-than-expected-experts-shocked-as-new-home-sales-plunge-8-9-percent">continue to plummet as well</a>.  In fact, we just witnessed a 12 percent year over year decline for sales of new single family houses <a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2018/11/28/supply-of-new-houses-spikes-to-highest-since-housing-bust-1/">last month</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Sales of new single-family houses plunged 12% in October, compared to a year ago, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 544,000 houses, <a href="https://www.census.gov/construction/nrs/pdf/newressales.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">according</a> to estimates by the Census Bureau and the Department of Housing and Urban Development.</p>
<p>With an inventory of new houses for sale at 336,000 (seasonally adjusted), the supply at the current rate of sales spiked to 7.4 months, from 6.5 months’ supply in September, and from 5.6 months’ supply a year ago.</p></blockquote>
<p>If all of this sounds eerily similar to 2008, that is because it is eerily similar to what happened just before and during the last financial crisis.</p>
<p>Up until now, at least the economic optimists could point to the employment numbers as a reason for hope, but not anymore.</p>
<p>In fact, initial claims for unemployment benefits <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/29/us-weekly-jobless-claims-nov-24-2018.html">have now risen for three weeks in a row</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>The number of Americans filing applications for jobless benefits increased to a six-month high last week, which could raise concerns that the labor market could be slowing.</p>
<p>Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 10,000 to a seasonally adjusted 234,000 for the week ended Nov. 24, the highest level since the mid-May, the Labor Department said on Thursday. Claims have now risen for three straight weeks.</p></blockquote>
<p>This is also similar to what we witnessed back in 2008.  Jobless claims started to creep up, and then when the crisis fully erupted there was an avalanche of job losses.</p>
<p>And just like 10 years ago, we are starting to see a lot of big corporations start to announce major layoffs.</p>
<p>General Motors greatly upset President Trump when they announced that they <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/general-motors-and-general-electric-were-both-victimized-by-the-same-ponzi-scheme-and-they-are-both-telling-us-the-u-s-economy-is-in-huge-trouble">were cutting 14,000 jobs just before the holidays</a>, but GM is far from alone.  For a list of some of the large firms that have just announced layoffs, please see my previous article entitled <a title="“U.S. Job Losses Accelerate: Here Are 10 Big Companies That Are Cutting Jobs Or Laying Off Workers”" href="http://endoftheamericandream.com/archives/u-s-job-losses-accelerate-here-are-10-big-companies-that-are-cutting-jobs-or-laying-off-workers" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">“U.S. Job Losses Accelerate: Here Are 10 Big Companies That Are Cutting Jobs Or Laying Off Workers”</a>.</p>
<p>A third parallel to 2008 is what is happening to the price of oil.</p>
<p>In 2008, the price of oil shot up to a record high before falling precipitously.</p>
<p>Well, now a similar thing has happened.  Earlier this year the price of oil shot up to $76 a barrel, but this week it slid beneath the all-important <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2018/11/29/business/oil-prices-50-dollars/index.html">$50 barrier</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Oil&#8217;s recent slide has shaved more than a third off its price. Crude fell more than 1% Thursday to as low as $49.41 a barrel. The last time oil closed below $50 was in October 4, 2017. By mid morning the price had climbed back to above $51.</p>
<p>Concerns about oversupply have sent oil prices into a virtual freefall: Crude hit a four-year high above $76 a barrel less than two months ago.</p></blockquote>
<p>When economists are asked why the price of oil is falling, the primary answer they give is because global economic activity is softening.</p>
<p>And that is definitely the case.  In fact, we just learned that economic confidence in the eurozone has declined <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-29/euro-area-economic-confidence-falls-complicating-ecb-s-mission?utm_content=brexit&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_source=twitter&amp;cmpid%3D=socialflow-facebook-brexit&amp;utm_campaign=socialflow-organic">for the 11th month in a row</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Euro-area economic confidence slipped for an 11th straight month, further damping expectations that the currency bloc will rebound from a <a title="Euro-Area Economy Cools, Italy Stagnates as Negative Signs Mount" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-10-30/euro-area-economy-cools-italy-stagnates-as-negative-signs-mount" target="_blank" rel="noopener">sharp growth slowdown</a> and complicating the European Central Bank’s plans to pare back stimulus.</p></blockquote>
<p>In addition, we just got news that the Swiss and Swedish economies had <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-29/swiss-swedish-economies-shrink-as-trade-slump-hits-europe?utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&amp;cmpid%3D=socialflow-twitter-economics&amp;utm_source=twitter&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_content=economics">negative growth</a> in the third quarter.</p>
<p>The economic news is bad across the board, and it appears to be undeniable that a global economic downturn has begun.</p>
<p>But current Fed Chair Jerome Powell insists that he is <a href="https://www.wral.com/for-the-u-s-economy-storm-clouds-on-the-horizon/18025978/">&#8220;very happy about the state of the economy&#8221;</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve’s chairman, has also taken an optimistic line, declaring in Texas recently that he was “very happy about the state of the economy.”</p></blockquote>
<p>That is just great.  He can be as happy as he wants, and he can continue raising interest rates as he sticks his head in the sand, but nothing is going to change economic reality.</p>
<p>Every single Fed rate hiking cycle in history has ended in a market crash and/or a recession, and this time won&#8217;t be any different.</p>
<p>The Federal Reserve created the &#8220;boom&#8221; that we witnessed in recent years, but we must also hold them responsible for the &#8220;bust&#8221; that is about to happen.</p>
<p><em>About the author: <a title="Michael Snyder" href="https://amzn.to/2Lde1XM" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Michael Snyder</a> is a nationally syndicated writer, media personality and political activist. He is publisher of <a title="The Most Important News" href="http://themostimportantnews.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Most Important News</a> and the author of four books including <a title="The Beginning Of The End" href="https://amzn.to/2La6o4D" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Beginning Of The End</a> and <a title="Living A Life That Really Matters" href="https://amzn.to/2Lb80ez" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Living A Life That Really Matters</a>.</em></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/3-things-that-happened-just-before-the-crisis-of-2008-that-are-happening-again-right-now/">3 Things That Happened Just Before The Crisis Of 2008 That Are Happening Again Right Now</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
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		<title>Much Worse Than Expected: Experts Shocked As New Home Sales Plunge 8.9 Percent</title>
		<link>http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/much-worse-than-expected-experts-shocked-as-new-home-sales-plunge-8-9-percent/</link>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Nov 2018 03:49:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Housing Crash]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Buying Homes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Fundamentals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Sellers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Homeownership Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Bubble 1]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Bubble 2]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Recovery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investors]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Defaults]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paying Cash]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Crash]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slashing Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The U.S. Economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/?p=14594</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The U.S. economy is definitely deviating from the script, and we just got more evidence that &#8220;Housing Bubble 2&#8221; is bursting.  Experts were expecting that new home sales in the U.S. would rise in October, but instead they plunged 8.9 percent.  That number is far worse than anyone was projecting, and many in the real ... <a title="Much Worse Than Expected: Experts Shocked As New Home Sales Plunge 8.9 Percent" class="read-more" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/much-worse-than-expected-experts-shocked-as-new-home-sales-plunge-8-9-percent/">Read more</a></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/much-worse-than-expected-experts-shocked-as-new-home-sales-plunge-8-9-percent/">Much Worse Than Expected: Experts Shocked As New Home Sales Plunge 8.9 Percent</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
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				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/much-worse-than-expected-experts-shocked-as-new-home-sales-plunge-8-9-percent/new-home-construction-public-domain#main" rel="attachment wp-att-14596"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-14596" src="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/New-Home-Construction-Public-Domain-540x389.jpg" alt="" width="540" height="389" srcset="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/New-Home-Construction-Public-Domain-540x389.jpg 540w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/New-Home-Construction-Public-Domain-300x216.jpg 300w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/New-Home-Construction-Public-Domain-768x554.jpg 768w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/New-Home-Construction-Public-Domain.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px" /></a>The U.S. economy is definitely deviating from the script, and we just got more evidence that &#8220;Housing Bubble 2&#8221; is bursting.  Experts were expecting that new home sales in the U.S. would rise in October, but instead they plunged 8.9 percent.  That number is far worse than anyone was projecting, and many in the real estate industry are really starting to freak out.  And to be honest, things look like they are going to get even worse in 2019.  One survey found that the percentage of Americans that plan to buy a home over the next 12 months has fallen <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/11-signs-that-the-u-s-economy-is-starting-to-slow-down-dramatically">by about half</a> during the past year.  Mortgage rates have steadily risen as the Federal Reserve has been hiking interest rates, and at this point most average Americans have been completely priced out of the market.  Home prices are going to have to come way down from where they are right now, and just as we witnessed in 2008, rapidly falling home prices can put an extraordinary amount of stress on the financial system.</p>
<p>It is hard for me to put into words just how bad this latest number is.  Even though I write about our growing economic problems <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/">on a daily basis</a>, even I didn&#8217;t expect to see a number anywhere near this bad.  Sometimes a really bad number from one part of the U.S. can drag down the overall number, but that wasn&#8217;t the case this time.  According to <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy-housing/u-s-new-home-sales-drop-to-more-than-2-1-2-year-low-idUSKCN1NX1WU">Reuters</a>, there were &#8220;sharp declines in all four regions&#8221;&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Sales of new U.S. single-family homes tumbled to a more than 2-1/2-year low in October amid sharp declines in all four regions, further evidence that higher mortgage rates were hurting the housing market.</p>
<p>The Commerce Department said on Wednesday new home sales dropped 8.9 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 544,000 units last month. That was the lowest level since March 2016. The percent drop was the biggest since December 2017.</p></blockquote>
<p>But of course it isn&#8217;t as if this latest report is coming out of nowhere.  The truth is that new home sales have fallen in four of the last six months, and so a very clear trend is now developing.</p>
<p>Sadly, most mainstream economists still don&#8217;t seem to be understanding what is happening.  According to Reuters, the consensus estimate was that we would see new home sales rise 3.7 percent in October, and so an 8.9 percent plunge came as a real shock.</p>
<p>New home sales have now missed expectations <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/inline-images/2018-11-28_7-03-15.jpg?itok=fgRoZrxc">for seven months in a row</a>, and the similarities to 2008 are starting to become undeniable.</p>
<p>Sales of previously owned homes have been falling as well.  In fact, in October we witnessed the largest drop for previously owned home sales <a href="https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/home-sales-suffer-largest-annual-drop-in-four-years/ar-BBPXJoX">in four years</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Sales of previously owned U.S. homes posted their largest annual decline since 2014 in October, as the housing market continues to sputter due to higher mortgage rates that are reducing home affordability.</p></blockquote>
<p>If you want to blame someone for this mess, blame the Federal Reserve.</p>
<p>They created a &#8220;boom&#8221; in the housing market by pushing interest rates all the way to the floor during the Obama years, and now they are creating a &#8220;bust&#8221; by aggressively jacking up interest rates at a pace that our economy simply cannot handle.</p>
<p>If we had allowed the free market to be setting interest rates all this time, we would not be on such a roller coaster ride.</p>
<p>Just like during &#8220;Housing Bubble 1&#8221;, millions of Americans have been buying houses that they cannot afford, and that could mean another massive wave of mortgage defaults as this new economic downturn intensifies.  At this point, the debt to income ratio for mortgages insured by the FHA <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2018/11/27/economy/economic-risk-factors/index.html">is at an all-time record high</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>One worrying indicator: The average debt-to-income ratio for mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration, which makes up about 22% of the housing market, is <a href="https://www.hud.gov/sites/dfiles/Housing/documents/2018fhaannualreportMMIFund.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">now at its highest level ever</a>.</p></blockquote>
<p>This is yet another indication that we are even more vulnerable than we were just prior to the subprime mortgage meltdown during the last financial crisis.</p>
<p>Let me try to shed some light on what is coming next.  Even if economic conditions remained stable, housing prices would need to start falling dramatically in order to attract buyers.  In fact, we are already starting to see this happen <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/evidence-the-housing-bubble-is-bursting-home-sellers-are-slashing-prices-at-the-highest-rate-in-at-least-eight-years">in southern California</a> and other markets that were once extremely &#8220;hot&#8221;.  As housing prices fall, millions of Americans will suddenly find themselves &#8220;underwater&#8221; on their mortgages.  In other words, they will owe more on their homes than their homes are worth.  During the last recession, many &#8220;underwater&#8221; homeowners ultimately decided to walk away rather than continue to service ridiculously bloated mortgages.</p>
<p>But the truth is that economic conditions are not likely to remain stable.  In fact, many are projecting that the approaching downturn will be <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/now-even-paul-krugman-of-the-new-york-times-is-admitting-that-the-next-crisis-will-likely-be-worse-than-2008">even worse than 2008</a>.</p>
<p>In such a scenario, millions of Americans will lose their jobs, and that means that millions of Americans will suddenly not be able to make their mortgage payments.  As a result, mortgage defaults will skyrocket and home prices will drop like a rock.  Just like last time around, there could be people that wake up one day and realize that they owe two or three times as much money on their mortgages as their homes are currently worth, and the stampede of people walking away from &#8220;underwater&#8221; mortgages could become an avalanche.</p>
<p>Needless to say, millions of mortgages suddenly going bad is a scenario that our financial system is not equipped to handle.  What happened in 2008 was absolutely catastrophic for our large financial institutions, and what is coming is going to be even worse.</p>
<p>Of course the big financial institutions will want the federal government to bail them out, but there may not be much of an appetite for more corporate bailouts this time around.</p>
<p>And considering the fact that we are already 22 trillion dollars in debt, we can&#8217;t exactly afford to be throwing money around.</p>
<p>The Federal Reserve has set the stage for a giant mess, and it is going to shake the housing industry to the core.</p>
<p>We should have learned from the mistakes that we made in 2008, but we didn&#8217;t, and so now we are going to pay a very great price for our negligence.</p>
<p><em>About the author: <a title="Michael Snyder" href="https://amzn.to/2Lde1XM" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Michael Snyder</a> is a nationally syndicated writer, media personality and political activist. He is publisher of <a title="The Most Important News" href="http://themostimportantnews.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Most Important News</a> and the author of four books including <a title="The Beginning Of The End" href="https://amzn.to/2La6o4D" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Beginning Of The End</a> and <a title="Living A Life That Really Matters" href="https://amzn.to/2Lb80ez" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Living A Life That Really Matters</a>.</em></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/much-worse-than-expected-experts-shocked-as-new-home-sales-plunge-8-9-percent/">Much Worse Than Expected: Experts Shocked As New Home Sales Plunge 8.9 Percent</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
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		<title>Jim Cramer On The U.S. Economy: &#8220;Many CEOS Have Told Me About How Quickly Things Have Cooled&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/jim-cramer-on-the-u-s-economy-many-ceos-have-told-me-about-how-quickly-things-have-cooled/</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Nov 2018 23:23:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Next Great Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2018]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Auto Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Downturn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Optimism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Experts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Cramer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Declines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Middle Class]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The S&P 500]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The U.S. Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/?p=14546</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>A lot of people are shocked by how rapidly things are beginning to move.  The U.S. economy is slowing down at a pace that we haven&#8217;t seen since the last recession, and this is something that I have been tracking extensively.  But now the slowdown is so obvious that even some of the biggest names ... <a title="Jim Cramer On The U.S. Economy: &#8220;Many CEOS Have Told Me About How Quickly Things Have Cooled&#8221;" class="read-more" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/jim-cramer-on-the-u-s-economy-many-ceos-have-told-me-about-how-quickly-things-have-cooled/">Read more</a></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/jim-cramer-on-the-u-s-economy-many-ceos-have-told-me-about-how-quickly-things-have-cooled/">Jim Cramer On The U.S. Economy: &#8220;Many CEOS Have Told Me About How Quickly Things Have Cooled&#8221;</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
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				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/jim-cramer-on-the-u-s-economy-many-ceos-have-told-me-about-how-quickly-things-have-cooled/jim-cramer-wikimedia-commons#main" rel="attachment wp-att-14548"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-14548" src="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Jim-Cramer-Wikimedia-Commons-540x359.jpg" alt="" width="540" height="359" srcset="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Jim-Cramer-Wikimedia-Commons-540x359.jpg 540w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Jim-Cramer-Wikimedia-Commons-300x199.jpg 300w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Jim-Cramer-Wikimedia-Commons-768x510.jpg 768w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/Jim-Cramer-Wikimedia-Commons.jpg 1599w" sizes="(max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px" /></a>A lot of people are shocked by how rapidly things are beginning to move.  The U.S. economy is slowing down at a pace that we haven&#8217;t seen since the last recession, and this is something that I <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/11-signs-that-the-u-s-economy-is-starting-to-slow-down-dramatically">have been tracking extensively</a>.  But now the slowdown is so obvious that even some of the biggest names in the mainstream media are talking about it.  For example, just take a look at what Jim Cramer of CNBC is saying.  For a long time, he was touting how well the U.S. economy was doing, but now his tune has completely changed.  According to Cramer, a lot of corporate executives have &#8220;told me about how quickly things have cooled&#8221;, and he says that many of them are shocked because this <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/15/cramer-says-ceos-are-telling-him-off-the-record-the-economy-has-cooled.html">&#8220;wasn&#8217;t supposed to occur so soon&#8221;</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Company leaders across industries are telling <a class="" tabindex="" title="" role="" href="https://www.cnbc.com/jim-cramer/" target="" data-type="" aria-label="">Jim Cramer</a> — off the record — that they’re worried about a slowdown in the U.S. economy, Cramer said Thursday on CNBC.</p>
<p>“So many CEOs have told me about how quickly things have cooled,” the <a class="" tabindex="" title="" role="" href="https://www.cnbc.com/mad-money/" target="" data-type="" aria-label=""> “Mad Money”</a> host said. “So many of them are baffled that we could find ourselves in this late-cycle dilemma that wasn’t supposed to occur so soon.”</p></blockquote>
<p>Just like in 2008, the suddenness of the downturn is taking many of the experts by surprise.</p>
<p>Because our system is so highly vulnerable, when things start to go bad we can see a crisis escalate very rapidly, and the outlook for the months ahead is very troubling.</p>
<p>Normally Jim Cramer doesn&#8217;t talk like this, but now he is warning that we are &#8220;on the verge&#8221; of a slowdown that could potentially <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/15/cramer-says-ceos-are-telling-him-off-the-record-the-economy-has-cooled.html">&#8220;cause an awful lot of havoc and cost a lot of jobs&#8221;</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>“There are degrees of slowdowns that, nonetheless, can cause an awful lot of havoc and cost a lot of jobs, and that’s what we’re on the verge of here,” he said. “That’s what the markets are saying. That’s what the CEOs are worried about offline.”</p>
<p>The situation reminded Cramer of when, on the cusp of the 2008 financial crisis, his corporate sources confided in him that the Fed “seemed to be out of touch &#8230; with what was happening” on Wall Street, he said. That led to his now-famous <a class="" tabindex="" title="" role="" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/03/11-years-later-jim-cramers-they-know-nothing-rant.html" target="" data-type="" aria-label=""> “They know nothing!” rant</a> blasting the Fed for its lack of diligence.</p></blockquote>
<p>Back in 2008 and 2009, millions of Americans lost their jobs within a matter of months.  Many of you that are reading this article know all about it, because it happened to you personally.</p>
<p>The same thing will happen again, and now it looks like it may happen a lot faster than most of the &#8220;experts&#8221; were projecting.</p>
<p>There is also another troubling piece of news that I would like to share with all of you.</p>
<p>On Friday, the latest NY Fed report came out, and we learned that U.S. household debt is now 837 billion dollars higher than it was <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-economy-debt/student-delinquencies-up-as-u-s-household-debt-hits-another-record-idUSKCN1NL1ZJ">during the previous peak in 2008</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Total household debt, driven by a $9.1 trillion in mortgages, is now $837 billion higher than its previous peak in 2008, just as the last recession took hold and brought on massive deleveraging across the United States. Indebtedness has risen steadily for more than four years and sits more than 21 percent above a trough in 2013.</p>
<p>The $219 billion rise in total debt in the quarter ended September 30 was the biggest jump since 2016.</p></blockquote>
<p>Our entire &#8220;economic recovery&#8221; has been fueled by debt, and so those numbers are not that surprising.</p>
<p>But the troubling part of the report is the fact that debt delinquency rates have now risen <a href="https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/news/research/2018/rp181116">to the highest levels in 7 years</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Aggregate delinquency rates worsened in the third quarter of 2018. As of September 30, 4.7% of outstanding debt was in some stage of delinquency, an uptick from 4.5% in the second quarter and <strong>the largest in 7 years</strong>. Of the $638 billion of debt that is delinquent, $415 billion is seriously delinquent (at least 90 days late or “severely derogatory”). This increase was primarily due to a large increase in the flow into delinquency for student loan balances during the third quarter of 2018. The flow into 90+ day delinquency for credit card balances has been rising for the last year and remained elevated since then compared to its recent history, while the flow into 90+ day delinquency for auto loan balances has been slowly trending upward since 2012.</p></blockquote>
<p>In other words, Americans are getting behind on their debts to a degree that we have not seen since the U.S. economy was coming out of the last recession.</p>
<p>This is a very clear indicator that the U.S. economy is really slowing down, and if delinquency rates keep rising that is going to mean big trouble for U.S. financial institutions.</p>
<p>Of course U.S. consumers are not the only ones with a massive debt problem.  Corporate debt has more than doubled since the last financial crisis, state and local government debt levels are at record highs, and the U.S. government is now almost 22 trillion dollars in debt.</p>
<p>Perhaps if we had not spent <a href="https://www.newsweek.com/us-spent-six-trillion-wars-killed-half-million-1215588">six trillion dollars on wars in the Middle East</a> since 2001, we would be in much better financial shape as a nation.</p>
<p>The Bubble to End All Bubbles, which some have dubbed &#8220;The Everything Bubble&#8221;, appears to be starting to burst and that is likely to mean tremendous chaos for global financial markets.</p>
<p>And without a doubt, this was another very tough week for Wall Street.  All of the major indexes were down significantly, and tech stocks <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/16/stock-market-dow-futures-brexit-turmoil-economic-data.html">got hit particularly hard</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>The <a class="" tabindex="" title="" role="" href="https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/?symbol=.SPX" target="" data-type="" aria-label="">S&amp;P 500</a> fell 1.6 percent this week, while the <a class="" tabindex="" title="" role="" href="https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/?symbol=.DJI" target="" data-type="" aria-label="">Dow Jones Industrial Average</a> and <a class="" tabindex="" title="" role="" href="https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/?symbol=.IXIC" target="" data-type="" aria-label="">Nasdaq Composite</a> both declined more than 2 percent.</p>
<p>Technology, the biggest sector in the S&amp;P 500 by market cap, was the second-worst performer this week, falling 2.5 percent. The sector dropped following a 5.4 percent decline in Apple. Wall Street analysts worry iPhone sales will slow down. Tech-related shares like Amazon and Netflix were also down 7 percent and 5.7 percent, respectively. Sharp losses in Nvidia dragged down the chips sector and the overall tech sector on Friday.</p></blockquote>
<p>For the past couple of years we have been enjoying a time of relative economic and financial stability, but most Americans used that time to party instead of to prepare.</p>
<p>Now that period of stability is ending, and a very uncertain future is ahead.</p>
<p><em>About the author: <a title="Michael Snyder" href="https://amzn.to/2Lde1XM" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Michael Snyder</a> is a nationally syndicated writer, media personality and political activist. He is publisher of <a title="The Most Important News" href="http://themostimportantnews.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Most Important News</a> and the author of four books including <a title="The Beginning Of The End" href="https://amzn.to/2La6o4D" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Beginning Of The End</a> and <a title="Living A Life That Really Matters" href="https://amzn.to/2Lb80ez" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Living A Life That Really Matters</a>.</em></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/jim-cramer-on-the-u-s-economy-many-ceos-have-told-me-about-how-quickly-things-have-cooled/">Jim Cramer On The U.S. Economy: &#8220;Many CEOS Have Told Me About How Quickly Things Have Cooled&#8221;</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
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		<title>11 Signs That The U.S. Economy Is Starting To Slow Down Dramatically</title>
		<link>http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/11-signs-that-the-u-s-economy-is-starting-to-slow-down-dramatically/</link>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 Nov 2018 05:22:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Next Great Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2018]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Auto Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Downturn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Optimism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Experts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Decline]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Declines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Middle Class]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The U.S. Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/?p=14531</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The pace at which things are changing is shocking the experts.  Just a few months ago, many of the experts were still talking about how the U.S. economy was &#8220;booming&#8221;, but since then a major shift has taken place.  Most of the headlines have been about the huge stock market declines that we have been ... <a title="11 Signs That The U.S. Economy Is Starting To Slow Down Dramatically" class="read-more" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/11-signs-that-the-u-s-economy-is-starting-to-slow-down-dramatically/">Read more</a></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/11-signs-that-the-u-s-economy-is-starting-to-slow-down-dramatically/">11 Signs That The U.S. Economy Is Starting To Slow Down Dramatically</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/11-signs-that-the-u-s-economy-is-starting-to-slow-down-dramatically/11-signs-that-the-u-s-economy-is-starting-to-slow-down-dramatically#main" rel="attachment wp-att-14533"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-14533" src="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/11-Signs-That-The-U.S.-Economy-Is-Starting-To-Slow-Down-Dramatically-540x405.jpg" alt="" width="540" height="405" srcset="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/11-Signs-That-The-U.S.-Economy-Is-Starting-To-Slow-Down-Dramatically-540x405.jpg 540w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/11-Signs-That-The-U.S.-Economy-Is-Starting-To-Slow-Down-Dramatically-300x225.jpg 300w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/11-Signs-That-The-U.S.-Economy-Is-Starting-To-Slow-Down-Dramatically-768x576.jpg 768w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/11-Signs-That-The-U.S.-Economy-Is-Starting-To-Slow-Down-Dramatically.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px" /></a>The pace at which things are changing is shocking the experts.  Just a few months ago, many of the experts were still talking about how the U.S. economy was &#8220;booming&#8221;, but since then a major shift has taken place.  Most of the headlines have been about <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/this-wasnt-supposed-to-happen">the huge stock market declines</a> that we have been witnessing, but things have not been going well for the real economy either.  Home sales are way down, auto sales are plummeting, the retail apocalypse is escalating, the middle class continues to shrink and economic optimism is rapidly evaporating.  We haven&#8217;t seen anything like this since 2008, and many believe that the economic downturn that is now upon us will ultimately be even worse than what we experienced a decade ago.  The following are 11 signs that the U.S. economy is starting to slow down dramatically&#8230;</p>
<p><strong>#1</strong> When economic activity is rising, demand for oil increases, and oil prices tend to go up.  But when economic activity is slowing down, demand for oil diminishes, and oil prices tend to go down.  That is why what is happening to the price of oil right now <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2018/11/13/investing/oil-prices-plunge/index.html">is so alarming</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>US oil prices plummeted 7% to a one-year low of $55.69 a barrel on Tuesday. It was crude&#8217;s worst day since September 2015.</p>
<p>The losses in the oil world have been staggering as worries deepen about excess supply. Crude is down 12 straight days, the longest losing streak since futures trading began in March 1983.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>#2</strong> One new poll has found that <a href="https://www.marketwatch.com/story/this-chart-shows-fizzling-momentum-in-the-housing-market-2018-11-12?mod=newsviewer_click">only 13 percent</a> of Americans plan to buy a home in the next year.  That number has fallen for three quarters in a row, and it is now down <strong>by almost half</strong> over the last twelve months.</p>
<p><strong>#3</strong> As the market dries up, the inventory of unsold homes <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-07/home-prices-are-now-plummeting-these-8-major-cities">is absolutely soaring</a> nationwide&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>With that in mind, it comes as no surprise that inventory countywide soared 86% among single-family homes and 188% among condos in October compared to a year prior, according to newly published data by the Northwest Multiple Listing Service. It was the most massive year-over-year increase on record, dating back to the Dotcom bust, a rhythm that has some asking:<strong> Is the housing industry about to go bust?</strong></p></blockquote>
<p><strong>#4</strong> California once had the hottest housing market in the entire nation, but now home prices in the state are plummeting <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/in-california-home-sales-are-plunging-like-it-is-2008-all-over-again">like it is 2008 all over again</a>.</p>
<p><strong>#5</strong> According to <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fund-managers-havent-bearish-global-economy-since-2008-124904221.html">the latest Bank of America survey</a>, global fund managers are the most bearish that they have been since the financial crisis of 2008&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>According to the survey, 44% of the fund managers expect global growth to decelerate in the next year, the worst outlook since November 2008. What’s more, 54% are anticipating a slowdown in Chinese growth in the next year, the most bearish they’ve been in over 2 years.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>#6</strong> America&#8217;s ongoing retail apocalypse just continues to accelerate.  According to <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-11-13/borrowers-flee-empty-malls-and-bond-investors-brace-for-fallout">a recent Bloomberg article</a>, things are going so poorly for some mall operators that they <strong>&#8220;handing over their keys to lenders even before leases end&#8221;</strong>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Things are getting worse for malls across America. So much worse that their owners are walking away early from struggling properties, a trend that has mortgage bond investors bracing for losses.</p>
<p>Mall operators, eyeing defaults caused or made more likely by shuttered stores such as Sears Holdings Corp., are handing over their keys to lenders even before leases end. That’s forcing loan-servicing companies to either take a shot at running the properties or sell them cheap. And if they’re unable to salvage the debt payments, investors in commercial mortgage-backed securities will take a hit.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>#7</strong> Despite the eruption of a major trade war, the U.S. trade deficit with the rest of the world is on pace to set <a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/kenroberts/2018/11/13/this-year-ironically-first-u-s-deficit-record-in-12-years/#678ea9e32550">a brand new all-time record</a> in 2018.</p>
<p><strong>#8</strong> One new study discovered that <a href="http://endoftheamericandream.com/archives/62-percent-of-all-u-s-jobs-do-not-pay-enough-to-support-a-middle-class-life">62 percent</a> of all U.S. jobs do not currently pay enough to support a middle class lifestyle.</p>
<p><strong>#9</strong> At this point, most Americans barely have any financial cushion at all.  According to one recent survey, <strong>58 percent</strong> of all Americans <a href="https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/personalfinance/the-cost-of-living-is-rising-and-many-americans-cant-afford-it/ar-BBPElEa?li=BBnbfcN&amp;ocid=mailsignout">have less than $1,000 in savings</a>.</p>
<p><strong>#10</strong> Right now, <a href="https://www.cnsnews.com/commentary/terence-p-jeffrey/welfare-generation-kids-households-getting-government-assistance-drop">more than half of all U.S. children</a> are living in households that receive financial assistance from the federal government.</p>
<p><strong>#11</strong> As the economy slows down, an increasing number of Americans are being forced into the streets.  <a href="http://endoftheamericandream.com/archives/more-than-half-a-million-people-americas-homelessness-crisis-is-rapidly-exploding-on-both-coasts">More than half a million Americans</a> are currently homeless, and that number is growing with each passing day.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, more troubling news continues to emerge from Wall Street on a daily basis.  One of the big stories this week has been the fact that General Electric appears to be on the verge of &#8220;collapse&#8221;.  They have been completely locked out of the commercial paper market, they are being completely overwhelmed by the giant mountain of debt that they are carrying, and their formerly &#8220;investment grade&#8221; bonds are now being traded like junk.  The following comes from <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-13/collapse-has-begun-ge-now-trading-junk">Zero Hedge</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Two weeks after we reported that GE had found itself <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-31/ge-locked-out-commercial-paper-market-after-moodys-downgrade">locked out of the commercial paper market </a>following downgrades that made it ineligible for most money market investors, the pain has continued, and yesterday General Electric lost just over $5bn in market capitalization. While far less than the $49bn wiped out from AAPL the same day, it was arguably the bigger headline grabber.</p>
<p>The shares slumped -6.88% after dropping as much as -10% at the lows after the company’s CEO, in an interview with CNBC yesterday, failed to reassure market fears about a weakening financial position. The CEO suggested that the company will now urgently sell assets to address leverage and its precarious liquidity situation whereby it will have to rely on revolvers &#8211; and the generosity of its banks &#8211; now that it is <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-10-31/ge-locked-out-commercial-paper-market-after-moodys-downgrade">locked out of the commercial paper market</a>.</p></blockquote>
<p>GE is not a financial company, but could this be a candidate to become &#8220;the next Lehman Brothers&#8221;?</p>
<p>The upward economic downturn of the last couple of years is totally gone, and many believe that there will soon be a feverish race for the exits on Wall Street.  If you have not already positioned yourself for the coming crisis, <a href="https://amzn.to/2PrC3Ew">now is the time to do so</a>.  As we saw in 2008, markets tend to go down a whole lot faster than they go up.</p>
<p>And once things get really crazy on Wall Street, the real economy can fall apart at a pace that is breathtaking.  In 2008, millions of people lost their jobs within a matter of months.  This will happen again, and there are an increasing number of signs that this is going to happen much sooner than most people had anticipated.</p>
<p><em>About the author: <a title="Michael Snyder" href="https://amzn.to/2Lde1XM" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Michael Snyder</a> is a nationally syndicated writer, media personality and political activist. He is publisher of <a title="The Most Important News" href="http://themostimportantnews.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Most Important News</a> and the author of four books including <a title="The Beginning Of The End" href="https://amzn.to/2La6o4D" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Beginning Of The End</a> and <a title="Living A Life That Really Matters" href="https://amzn.to/2Lb80ez" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Living A Life That Really Matters</a>.</em></p>
<p><em><a title="The Last Days Warrior Summit" href="https://www.lastdayswarrior.com/order-summer-access?affiliate_id=1323694" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Last Days Warrior Summit</a> is the premier online event of 2018 for Christians, Conservatives and Patriots.  It is a premium members-only international event that will empower and equip you with the knowledge and tools that you need as global events begin to escalate dramatically.  The speaker list includes Michael Snyder, Mike Adams, Dave Daubenmire, Ray Gano, Dr. Daniel Daves, Gary Kah, Justus Knight, Doug Krieger, Lyn Leahz, Laura Maxwell and many more. Full summit access will begin <a title="on October 25th" href="https://www.lastdayswarrior.com/order-summer-access?affiliate_id=1323694" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">on October 25th</a>, and if you would like to register for this unprecedented event you can do so <a title="right here" href="https://www.lastdayswarrior.com/order-summer-access?affiliate_id=1323694" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">right here</a>.</em></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/11-signs-that-the-u-s-economy-is-starting-to-slow-down-dramatically/">11 Signs That The U.S. Economy Is Starting To Slow Down Dramatically</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
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		<title>New Vehicle Sales &#8220;Collapse&#8221; And Pending Home Sales &#8220;Plunge&#8221; As America&#8217;s Economic Slowdown Accelerates</title>
		<link>http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/new-vehicle-sales-collapse-and-pending-home-sales-plunge-as-americas-economic-slowdown-accelerates/</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Sep 2018 05:17:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Next Great Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bad Economic News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt Levels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Downturn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Numbers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Slowdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Major Economic Downturn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Major Problems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[More Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Vehicle Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pending Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slowdown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vehicle Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Warning Signs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/?p=14305</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>In late 2018, the bad economic news just keeps rolling in.  At a time when consumer confidence is absolutely soaring, the underlying economic numbers are clearly telling us that enormous problems are right around the corner.  Of course this is usually what happens just before a major economic downturn.  Most people in the general population ... <a title="New Vehicle Sales &#8220;Collapse&#8221; And Pending Home Sales &#8220;Plunge&#8221; As America&#8217;s Economic Slowdown Accelerates" class="read-more" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/new-vehicle-sales-collapse-and-pending-home-sales-plunge-as-americas-economic-slowdown-accelerates/">Read more</a></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/new-vehicle-sales-collapse-and-pending-home-sales-plunge-as-americas-economic-slowdown-accelerates/">New Vehicle Sales &#8220;Collapse&#8221; And Pending Home Sales &#8220;Plunge&#8221; As America&#8217;s Economic Slowdown Accelerates</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/new-vehicle-sales-collapse-and-pending-home-sales-plunge-as-americas-economic-slowdown-accelerates/falling-public-domain-6#main" rel="attachment wp-att-14307"><img class="aligncenter size-large wp-image-14307" src="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Falling-Public-Domain-540x351.jpg" alt="" width="540" height="351" srcset="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Falling-Public-Domain-540x351.jpg 540w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Falling-Public-Domain-300x195.jpg 300w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Falling-Public-Domain-768x499.jpg 768w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/09/Falling-Public-Domain.jpg 1280w" sizes="(max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px" /></a>In late 2018, the bad economic news just keeps rolling in.  At a time when consumer confidence is absolutely soaring, the underlying economic numbers are clearly telling us that enormous problems are right around the corner.  Of course this is usually what happens just before a major economic downturn.  Most people in the general population feel like the party can go on for quite a while longer, but meanwhile the warning signs just keep becoming <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/do-they-know-something-we-dont-corporate-insiders-are-selling-stocks-at-the-fastest-pace-in-10-years">more and more obvious</a>.  I have been hearing from people that truly believe that the economy is &#8220;strong&#8221;, but if the U.S. economy really was in good shape would new vehicle sales be <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-09-27/september-us-auto-sales-expected-collapse">&#8220;collapsing&#8221;?</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>According to the latest <a href="https://www.edmunds.com/about/press/new-vehicle-sales-expected-to-dip-year-over-year-but-remain-strong-in-september-edmunds-forecasts.html">estimates</a> released by Edmunds, new vehicle sales for September are expected <strong>to collapse</strong> both on a monthly basis and year-over-year basis. The company predicted that 1,392,434 new cars and trucks will be sold in the U.S. in September, which makes for a estimated seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 17 million. <strong>This will be a 5.4% decrease from last month and an 8.3% drop from September of last year.</strong></p></blockquote>
<p>Those are absolutely terrible numbers.</p>
<p>And this news comes after all of the major automakers had already revised earnings guidance lower.  The following comes from <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-09-27/september-us-auto-sales-expected-collapse">Zero Hedge</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>The drop in sales capped <strong>another rough month for the auto industry</strong> during which <strong>Detroit’s carmakers all revised their earnings guidance lower</strong> and Ford embarked on a five-year restructuring plan. Earlier this week, we <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-09-26/ford-ceo-says-trump-tariffs-cost-company-1-billion-profits">reported</a> that Ford&#8217;s CEO claimed that President Trump&#8217;s auto tariffs had cost the company $1 billion in profits.</p></blockquote>
<p>Sadly, this may just be the very beginning of the auto industry&#8217;s troubles.</p>
<p>It is now being projected that if this trade war with China continues, U.S. automakers could see total sales fall <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-09-23/trade-wars-could-collapse-us-car-sales-and-slash-715k-american-jobs-it-could">&#8220;by 2 million vehicles per year&#8221;</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Retaliation by China to tariffs already in place have made some American auto exports uncompetitive, and <strong>could collapse US auto sales by 2 million vehicles per year</strong>, resulting in <strong>the loss of up to 715,000 American jobs</strong> and a devastating hit of <strong>as much as $62 billion to the US GDP</strong>.</p>
<p>As per NBC News, the Center for Automotive Research (CAR) warns that the auto industry could receive a devastating blow if Section 232 declares foreign-made cars and car parts a threat to national security.</p>
<p>Kristin Dziczek, a vice president and senior economist at CAR, said if Section 232 is enacted, it could trigger a “downward cycle” in the auto industry &#8211; not seen since the last great recession.</p></blockquote>
<p>And needless to say, the thousands of companies that do business with those large automakers would also lose sales and jobs.</p>
<p>Once these downturns get rolling, the domino effect can be absolutely devastating.</p>
<p>On Thursday, we also learned that pending home sales <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-09-27/pending-home-sales-plunge-august-led-collapse-west">&#8220;plunged in August&#8221;</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Pending home sales plunged in August</strong>, dropping 1.8% MoM (almost four times worse than expected) to its <strong>lowest since Oct 2014</strong> (and fell 2.5% YoY) &#8211; <strong>the fourth month of annual declines in a row&#8230;</strong></p></blockquote>
<p>If the U.S. economy truly is &#8220;strong&#8221;, then why have we seen four monthly declines in a row?</p>
<p>And it isn&#8217;t just one part of the nation that is experiencing a downturn.  According to Bloomberg, <a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-09-27/pending-home-sales-plunge-august-led-collapse-west">all four major regions of the country</a> showed a decline&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>As Bloomberg notes, the decline, which was broad-based across all four regions, </strong>shows that higher mortgage rates, rising prices and a shortage of affordable homes continue to squeeze buyers. Existing-home sales in August matched the lowest in more than two years, while <strong>revisions to new-home sales showed a slower market than thought,</strong> according to previously released figures.</p></blockquote>
<p>Homes are not selling like they once were.  There is a reason why <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/evidence-the-housing-bubble-is-bursting-home-sellers-are-slashing-prices-at-the-highest-rate-in-at-least-eight-years">one out of every four home sellers in America</a> slashed their prices in August.  Demand is way down, and that strongly indicates that an economic slowdown is here.</p>
<p>When it looks like the economy is headed for a major downturn, a lot of people go out and stock up on gold, and it turns out that is precisely what global central banks <a href="https://seekingalpha.com/news/3393479-central-bank-gold-buying-hits-highest-six-years-macquarie-says">have been doing</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Central banks have emerged as <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/e1334e52-c25c-11e8-95b1-d36dfef1b89a" target="_blank" rel="noopener">some of the biggest buyers of gold this year</a>, buying a total of 264 metric tons this year to reach <strong>the highest level in six years</strong>, according to analysts at Macquarie.</p></blockquote>
<p>Of course the Federal Reserve and other central banks are trying to assure us that everything is going to be okay, but meanwhile their actions are telling us a different story.</p>
<p>Much of the world is already in the midst of a crippling economic crisis, and every indicator seems to be pointing to the fact that the U.S. is <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/why-are-so-many-people-talking-about-the-potential-for-a-stock-market-crash-in-october">headed down the same path</a>.</p>
<p>Even without any extenuating circumstances, the truth is that we are way overdue for a recession.  But when you throw in political chaos, exploding debt levels, an emerging market currency crisis and a trade war between the two largest economies on the entire planet, you definitely have a recipe for a perfect storm.</p>
<p>If you do not believe that this trade war is a big deal, you should consider the words of former Reagan administration official <a href="http://www.economicpolicyjournal.com/2018/09/warning-dont-be-fooled-trade-war-has.html#more">David Stockman</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Folks, it&#8217;s not a &#8220;skirmish&#8221;. On the scale of trade warfare we are now at DEFCON 2.</p>
<p>At this very moment, the US is taxing $250 billion of Chinese imports or nearly half the total flow; and China is taxing $110 billion of its imports from the US or 85% of the flow.</p>
<p>And it&#8217;s soon going full monte. The Donald has repeatedly threatened to tariff the remaining $267 billion of Chinese imports if Beijing retaliates against his $200 billion, but, self-evidently, they already have.</p></blockquote>
<p>The U.S. economy has found a way to muddle through for the past couple of years, and we should all hope that the economy can find a way to navigate through these current problems.</p>
<p>But the storm clouds are growing more ominous with each passing day, and at some point time will run out.</p>
<p><em>About the author: <a title="Michael Snyder" href="https://amzn.to/2Lde1XM" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Michael Snyder</a> is a nationally syndicated writer, media personality and political activist. He is publisher of <a title="The Most Important News" href="http://themostimportantnews.com/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Most Important News</a> and the author of four books including <a title="The Beginning Of The End" href="https://amzn.to/2La6o4D" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Beginning Of The End</a> and <a title="Living A Life That Really Matters" href="https://amzn.to/2Lb80ez" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Living A Life That Really Matters</a>.</em></p>
<p><em><a title="The Last Days Warrior Summit" href="https://www.lastdayswarrior.com/order-summer-access?affiliate_id=1323694" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Last Days Warrior Summit</a> is the premier online event of 2018 for Christians, Conservatives and Patriots.  It is a premium-members only international event that will empower and equip you with the knowledge and tools that you need as global events begin to escalate dramatically.  The speaker list includes Michael Snyder, Mike Adams, Dave Daubenmire, Ray Gano, Dr. Daniel Daves, Gary Kah, Justus Knight, Doug Krieger, Lyn Leahz, Laura Maxwell and many more. Full summit access will begin <a title="on October 25th" href="https://www.lastdayswarrior.com/order-summer-access?affiliate_id=1323694" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">on October 25th</a>, and if you would like to register for this unprecedented event you can do so <a title="right here" href="https://www.lastdayswarrior.com/order-summer-access?affiliate_id=1323694" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">right here</a>.</em></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/new-vehicle-sales-collapse-and-pending-home-sales-plunge-as-americas-economic-slowdown-accelerates/">New Vehicle Sales &#8220;Collapse&#8221; And Pending Home Sales &#8220;Plunge&#8221; As America&#8217;s Economic Slowdown Accelerates</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
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		<title>Has The Next Recession Already Begun For America&#8217;s Middle Class?</title>
		<link>http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/has-the-next-recession-already-begun-for-americas-middle-class/</link>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 May 2014 20:58:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Next Great Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[America's Middle Class]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Downturn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Employed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[High End Homes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hopetimism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Major Retailers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle Class]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New York City]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Next Recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[San Francisco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Middle Class]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The U.S. Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington D.C.]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/?p=7378</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Has the next major economic downturn already started?  The way that you would answer that question would probably depend on where you live.  If you live in New York City, or the suburbs of Washington D.C., or you work for one of the big tech firms in the San Francisco area, you would probably respond ... <a title="Has The Next Recession Already Begun For America&#8217;s Middle Class?" class="read-more" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/has-the-next-recession-already-begun-for-americas-middle-class/">Read more</a></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/has-the-next-recession-already-begun-for-americas-middle-class/">Has The Next Recession Already Begun For America&#8217;s Middle Class?</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/has-the-next-recession-already-begun-for-americas-middle-class/recession" rel="attachment wp-att-7379"><img class="alignleft size-thumbnail wp-image-7379" alt="Recession" src="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Recession-300x300.jpg" width="300" height="300" /></a>Has the next major economic downturn already started?  The way that you would answer that question would probably depend on where you live.  If you live in New York City, or the suburbs of Washington D.C., or you work for one of the big tech firms in the San Francisco area, you would probably respond to such a question by saying of course not.  In those areas, the economy is doing great and prices for high end homes are still booming.  But in most of the rest of the nation, evidence continues to mount that the next recession has already begun for the poor and the middle class.  As you will read about below, major retailers had an absolutely dreadful start to 2014 and home sales are declining just as they did back in 2007 before the last financial crisis.  Meanwhile, the U.S. economy continues to lose more good jobs and <a title="20 percent" href="http://endoftheamericandream.com/archives/the-real-unemployment-rate-in-20-of-american-families-everyone-is-unemployed" target="_blank">20 percent</a> of all U.S. families do not have a single member that is employed at this point.  2014 is turning out to be eerily similar to 2007 <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/exactly-like-7-years-ago-2014-is-turning-out-to-be-eerily-similar-to-2007">in so many ways</a>, but most people are not paying attention.</p>
<p>During the first quarter of 2014, earnings by major U.S. retailers missed estimates by the biggest margin <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-05-23/u-s-retailers-missing-estimates-by-most-in-13-years.html">in 13 years</a>.  The &#8220;<a title="retail apocalypse" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/two-more-victims-of-the-retail-apocalypse-family-dollar-and-coldwater-creek">retail apocalypse</a>&#8221; continues to escalate, and the biggest reason for this is the fact that middle class consumers in the U.S. are tapped out.  And this is not just happening to a few retailers &#8211; this is something that is happening across the board.  The following is a summary of how major U.S. retailers performed in the first quarter of 2014 that was put together <a href="http://www.theburningplatform.com/2014/05/25/retail-death-rattle-grows-louder/">by Jim Quinn</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Wal-Mart Profit Plunges By $220 Million as US Store Traffic Declines by 1.4%</p>
<p>Target Profit Plunges by $80 Million, 16% Lower Than 2013, as Store Traffic Declines by 2.3%</p>
<p>Sears Loses $358 Million in First Quarter as Comparable Store Sales at Sears Plunge by 7.8% and Sales at Kmart Plunge by 5.1%</p>
<p>JC Penney Thrilled With Loss of Only $358 Million For the Quarter</p>
<p>Kohl’s Operating Income Plunges by 17% as Comparable Sales Decline by 3.4%</p>
<p>Costco Profit Declines by $84 Million as Comp Store Sales Only Increase by 2%</p>
<p>Staples Profit Plunges by 44% as Sales Collapse and Closing Hundreds of Stores</p>
<p>Gap Income Drops 22% as Same Store Sales Fall</p>
<p>American Eagle Profits Tumble 86%, Will Close 150 Stores</p>
<p>Aeropostale Losses $77 Million as Sales Collapse by 12%</p>
<p>Best Buy Sales Decline by $300 Million as Margins Decline and Comparable Store Sales Decline by 1.3%</p>
<p>Macy’s Profit Flat as Comparable Store Sales decline by 1.4%</p>
<p>Dollar General Profit Plummets by 40% as Comp Store Sales Decline by 3.8%</p>
<p>Urban Outfitters Earnings Collapse by 20% as Sales Stagnate</p>
<p>McDonalds Earnings Fall by $66 Million as US Comp Sales Fall by 1.7%</p>
<p>Darden Profit Collapses by 30% as Same Restaurant Sales Plunge by 5.6% and Company Selling Red Lobster</p>
<p>TJX Misses Earnings Expectations as Sales &amp; Earnings Flat</p>
<p>Dick’s Misses Earnings Expectations as Golf Store Sales Plummet</p>
<p>Home Depot Misses Earnings Expectations as Customer Traffic Only Rises by 2.2%</p>
<p>Lowes Misses Earnings Expectations as Customer Traffic was Flat</p></blockquote>
<p>That is quite a startling list.</p>
<p>But plummeting retail sales are not the only sign that the U.S. middle class is really struggling right now.  Home sales have also been extremely disappointing for quite a few months.  This is how <a href="http://www.testosteronepit.com/home/2014/5/28/housing-bubble-2-already-collapsing-for-the-99.html">Wolf Richter</a> described what we have been witnessing&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>This is precisely what shouldn’t have happened but was destined to happen: Sales of existing homes <strong>have gotten clobbered since last fall</strong>. At first, the Fiscal Cliff and the threat of a US government default – remember those zany times? – were blamed, then polar vortices were blamed even while home sales in California, where the weather had been gorgeous all winter, plunged more than elsewhere.</p>
<p>Then it spread to new-home sales: in April, they dropped 4.7% from a year ago, after March&#8217;s year-over-year decline of 4.9%, and February&#8217;s 2.8%. Not a good sign: the April hit was worse than February&#8217;s, when it was the weather’s fault. Yet April should be the busiest month of the year (<a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hXfNpdFQD3g&amp;feature=player_embedded" target="_blank">excellent brief video</a> by Lee Adler on this debacle).</p>
<p>We have already seen that in some markets, in California for example, sales have collapsed at the lower two-thirds of the price range, with the upper third thriving. People who earn median incomes are increasingly priced out of the market, and many potential first-time buyers have little chance of getting in. In San Diego, for example, sales of homes below $200,000 plunged 46% while the upper end is doing just fine.</p></blockquote>
<p>As Richter noted, sales of upper end homes are still doing fine in many areas.</p>
<p>But how long will that be able to continue if things continue to get even worse for the poor and the middle class?  Traditionally, the U.S. economy has greatly depended upon consumer spending by the middle class.  If that continues to dry up, how long can we avoid falling into a recession?  For even more numbers that seem to indicate economic trouble for the middle class, please see my previous article entitled &#8220;<a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/27-huge-red-flags-for-the-u-s-economy">27 Huge Red Flags For The U.S. Economy</a>&#8220;.</p>
<p>Other analysts are expressing similar concerns.  For example, check out what John Williams of <a href="http://www.shadowstats.com/">shadowstats.com</a> had to say during one <a href="http://www.shtfplan.com/headline-news/the-recession-is-coming-economist-warns-its-beyond-control-i-dont-see-what-will-save-it-at-this-point_05222014">recent interview</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>We’re turning down anew</strong>. The first quarter should revise into negative territory… and I believe the second quarter will report negative as well.</p>
<p>That will all happen by July 30 when you have the annual revisions to the GDP. In reality the economy is much weaker than that. Economic growth is overstated with the GDP because they understate inflation, which is used in deflating the number…</p>
<p>What we’re seeing now is just… we’ve been barely stagnant and bottomed out… but we’re turning down again.</p>
<p><strong>The reason for this is that the consumer is strapped… doesn’t have the liquidity to fuel the growth in consumption.</strong></p>
<p><strong>Income… the median household income, net of inflation, is as low as it was in 1967. The average guy is not staying ahead of inflation…</strong></p>
<p>This has been a problem now for decades… You were able to buy consumption from the future by borrowing more money, expanding your debt. Greenspan saw the problem was income, so he encouraged debt expansion.</p>
<p>That all blew apart in 2007/2008… the income problems have continued, but now you don’t have the ability to borrow money the way you used to. Without that and the income problems remaining, there’s no way that consumption can grow faster than inflation if income isn’t.</p>
<p><strong>As a result – personal consumption is more than two thirds of the economy – there’s no way you can have positive sustainable growth in the U.S. economy without the consumer being healthy.</strong></p></blockquote>
<p>The key to the health of the middle class is having plenty of good jobs.</p>
<p>But the U.S. economy continues to lose more good paying jobs.</p>
<p>For example, Hewlett-Packard has just announced that it plans to eliminate <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-05-22/hp-second-quarter-sales-fall-short-of-estimates.html">16,000 more jobs</a> in addition to the 34,000 job cuts that have already been announced.</p>
<p>Today, there are <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/the-number-of-working-age-americans-without-a-job-has-risen-by-27-million-since-2000">27 million</a> more working age Americans that do not have a job than there were in 2000, and the quality of our jobs continues to decline.</p>
<p>This is absolutely <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/the-middle-class-in-canada-is-now-doing-better-than-the-middle-class-in-america-is">destroying the middle class</a>.  Unless the employment situation in this country starts to turn around, there does not seem to be much hope that the middle class will recover any time soon.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, there are emerging signs of trouble for the wealthy as well.</p>
<p>For instance, just like we witnessed back in 2007, things are starting to look a bit shaky at the &#8220;too big to fail&#8221; banks.  The following is an excerpt from a recent <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/101710642">CNBC report</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Citigroup has joined the ranks of those with trading troubles, as a high-ranking official told the Deutsche Bank 2014 Global Financial Services Investor Conference Tuesday that adjusted trading revenue probably will decline <strong>20 percent to 25 percent</strong> in the second quarter on an annualized basis.</p>
<p>&#8220;People are uncertain,&#8221; Chief Financial Officer John Gerspach said of investor behavior, according to <a class="inline_asset" href="http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702304811904579588232854999044?mg=reno64-wsj" target="_blank">an account from the <em>Wall Street Journal</em></a>. &#8220;There just isn&#8217;t a lot of movement.&#8221;</p>
<p>In recent weeks, officials at JPMorgan Chase and Barclays also both reported likely drops in trading revenue. JPMorgan said it expected a decline of <strong>20 percent</strong> of the quarter, while Barclays anticipates a <strong>41 percent</strong> drop, prompting it to announce mass layoffs that will pare 19,000 jobs by the end of 2016.</p></blockquote>
<p>Remember, very few people expected a recession the last time around either.  In fact, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke repeatedly promised us that we would not have a recession and then we went on to experience the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression.</p>
<p>It will be the same this time as well.  Just like in 2007, we will continue to get an endless supply of &#8220;hopetimism&#8221; from our politicians and the mainstream media, and they will continue to fill our heads with visions of rainbows, unicorns and economic prosperity for as far as the eyes can see.</p>
<p>But then the next recession will strike and most Americans will be completely blindsided by it.</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/has-the-next-recession-already-begun-for-americas-middle-class/">Has The Next Recession Already Begun For America&#8217;s Middle Class?</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
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		<title>27 Huge Red Flags For The U.S. Economy</title>
		<link>http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/27-huge-red-flags-for-the-u-s-economy/</link>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 May 2014 22:52:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[The Next Great Depression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Household Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Industrial Production]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Michael T. Snyder]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Red Flags]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Retail Stores Closing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Right Direction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The U.S. Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Household Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unemployed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Warning Signs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/?p=7344</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>If you believe that the U.S. economy is heading in the right direction, you really need to read this article.  As we look toward the second half of 2014, there are economic red flags all over the place.  Industrial production is down.  Home sales are way down.  Retail stores are closing at the fastest pace ... <a title="27 Huge Red Flags For The U.S. Economy" class="read-more" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/27-huge-red-flags-for-the-u-s-economy/">Read more</a></p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/27-huge-red-flags-for-the-u-s-economy/">27 Huge Red Flags For The U.S. Economy</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/27-huge-red-flags-for-the-u-s-economy/red-flag-2" rel="attachment wp-att-7345"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-7345" alt="Red Flag" src="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Red-Flag-300x264.png" width="300" height="264" srcset="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Red-Flag-300x264.png 300w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Red-Flag-425x374.png 425w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Red-Flag-150x132.png 150w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Red-Flag-400x352.png 400w, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/Red-Flag.png 466w" sizes="(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px" /></a>If you believe that the U.S. economy is heading in the right direction, you really need to read this article.  As we look toward the second half of 2014, there are economic red flags all over the place.  Industrial production is down.  Home sales are way down.  Retail stores are closing at the fastest pace since the collapse of Lehman Brothers.  U.S. household debt is up substantially, and in 20 percent of all U.S. families <strong>everyone</strong> is unemployed.  In so many ways, what we are witnessing right now is <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/exactly-like-7-years-ago-2014-is-turning-out-to-be-eerily-similar-to-2007">so similar</a> to what we experienced during the build up to the last great financial crisis.  We are making so many of the very same mistakes that we made the last time, and yet our &#8220;leaders&#8221; seem completely oblivious to what is happening.  But the warning signs are very clear.  All you have to do is open your eyes and look at them.  The following are 27 huge red flags for the U.S. economy&#8230;</p>
<p><strong>#1</strong> Despite endless assurances from the Obama administration that we are in an &#8220;economic recovery&#8221;, the number one concern for U.S. voters is &#8220;Unemployment/Jobs&#8221; according to a <a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/169289/jobs-government-economy-remain-top-problems.aspx">recent Gallup survey</a>.</p>
<p><strong>#2</strong> Historically, sales for construction equipment manufacturer Caterpillar have been a pretty good indicator of where the global economy is heading next.  Unfortunately, sales were down <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-05-20/caterpillar-retail-sales-plunge-13-most-february-2010-decline-17-consecutive-months">13 percent</a> last month and have now experienced year over year declines for <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-05-20/caterpillar-retail-sales-plunge-13-most-february-2010-decline-17-consecutive-months">17 months in a row</a>.</p>
<p><strong>#3</strong> During the first quarter of 2014, profits at office supply giant Staples fell by <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2014/05/20/investing/staples-stock-earnings/index.html?iid=HP_River">43.5 percent</a>.</p>
<p><strong>#4</strong> Foot traffic at Wal-Mart stores fell by <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2014/05/15/investing/wal-mart-weather-earnings/index.html?iid=HP_Highlight">1.4 percent</a> during the first quarter of 2014.  Analysts seem puzzled as to why Wal-Mart is &#8220;<a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/101680657">underperforming</a>&#8220;.  Perhaps it is because the U.S. middle class <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/the-middle-class-in-canada-is-now-doing-better-than-the-middle-class-in-america-is">is being steadily destroyed</a> and U.S. consumers are tapped out at this point.</p>
<p><strong>#5</strong> It is being projected that Sears will soon <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2014/05/15/news/companies/sears-store-closings/index.html?hpt=hp_t2">close hundreds more stores</a> and will eventually go out of business altogether&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>The company said this week that it may sell its 51% stake in Sears Canada, which operates nearly 20% of the company&#8217;s stores worldwide. It has quietly closed nearly 100 U.S. stores in the last year. Next week, it&#8217;s expected to announce dismal fiscal first quarter results and possibly yet more store closings.</p>
<p>&#8220;They have too many stores and they&#8217;re losing a lot of money, burning cash,&#8221; said John Kernan, an analyst with Cowen.<br />
Kernan expects the company to close 500 of its 1,980 U.S. stores in a few years and, ultimately, to go out of business.</p>
<p>&#8220;The lights are going off at Sears and Kmart,&#8221; he said. &#8220;There are tumbleweeds blowing through the parking lots at Kmart. They&#8217;re basically completely irrelevant.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>The &#8220;<a title="retail apocalypse" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/two-more-victims-of-the-retail-apocalypse-family-dollar-and-coldwater-creek">retail apocalypse</a>&#8221; just continues to roll on, but the mainstream media is treating this like it is not really a big deal.</p>
<p><strong>#6</strong> The labor force participation rate for Americans from the age of 25 to the age of 29 has fallen <a href="http://cnsnews.com/news/article/ali-meyer/labor-force-participation-rate-25-29-year-olds-hits-record-low">to an all-time record low</a>.</p>
<p><strong>#7</strong> According to official government numbers, <strong>everyone</strong> is unemployed in <a href="http://endoftheamericandream.com/archives/the-real-unemployment-rate-in-20-of-american-families-everyone-is-unemployed">20 percent</a> of all American families.</p>
<p><strong>#8</strong> As families struggle to pay their bills, many of them are increasingly turning to debt in order to make ends meet.  Earlier this month we learned that total U.S. household debt has increased <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/101668521">for three quarters in a row</a>.  And as I noted <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/exactly-like-7-years-ago-2014-is-turning-out-to-be-eerily-similar-to-2007">in one recent article</a>, total consumer credit in the United States has increased by <a title="22 percent" href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/101103819" target="_blank">22 percent</a> over the past three years, and <a title="56 percent" href="http://business.time.com/2014/01/30/nearly-half-of-america-lives-paycheck-to-paycheck/" target="_blank">56 percent</a> of all Americans have &#8220;subprime credit&#8221; at this point.</p>
<p><strong>#9</strong> Interest rates on student loans are scheduled to increase substantially <a href="http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/columnist/tompor/2014/05/18/susan-tompor-get-ready-for-interest-rates-to-rise-/9221951/">on July 1st</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>As of July 1, federal student loan rates will edge up. Rates overall will be up 0.8% compared to current rates.</p>
<p>Federal Stafford Loans for undergraduate students will be 4.66% — up from 3.86%. Federal Stafford Loans for graduate students will be 6.21% — up from 5.41%.</p>
<p>Federal Grad PLUS and Federal Parent PLUS Loans will be at 7.21% — up from 6.41%.</p></blockquote>
<p>This is going to put even more pressure on <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/is-college-a-waste-of-time-and-money">the growing student loan debt bubble</a>.</p>
<p><strong>#10</strong> U.S. industrial production fell <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-05-15/industrial-production-plunges-most-5-years-biggest-miss-3-years">by 0.6 percent in April</a>.  This should not be happening if the economy truly was &#8220;recovering&#8221;.</p>
<p><strong>#11</strong> Manufacturing job openings in the United States have declined <a title="for four months in a row" href="http://www.shopfloor.org/2014/05/manufacturing-job-postings-and-hiring-data-were-weaker-in-march/31276" target="_blank">for four months in a row</a>.</p>
<p><strong>#12</strong> Existing home sales have fallen <a href="http://research.stlouisfed.org/fred2/data/EXHOSLUSM495S.txt">for seven of the last eight months</a> and seem to be repeating a pattern that we witnessed <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/exactly-like-7-years-ago-2014-is-turning-out-to-be-eerily-similar-to-2007">back in 2007</a> prior to the last financial crash.</p>
<p><strong>#13</strong> In the real estate bubble market of Phoenix, sales in April were down <a href="http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2014/05/phoenix-real-estate-in-april-sales-down.html">12 percent</a> year over year, and active inventory was up <a href="http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2014/05/phoenix-real-estate-in-april-sales-down.html">49 percent</a> year over year.  In other words, there are tons of homes on the market, but sales are going down.</p>
<p><strong>#14</strong> The homeownership rate in the United States has dropped to the lowest level <a title="in 19 years" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-29/u-s-homeownership-rate-falls-to-the-lowest-since-1995.html" target="_blank">in 19 years</a>.</p>
<p><strong>#15</strong> Trading revenue at big banks all over the western world <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/101646426">is way down</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Late Friday, it was JPMorgan who said trading revenues will be down 20 percent this quarter. Now Barclays says trading revenues in the first three months were down 41 percent. The company cited &#8220;challenging trading conditions resulting in subdued client activity.&#8221; Like JPMorgan, Barclays also warned they were seeing no improvement in trading in the second quarter.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>#16</strong> Jan Loeys, JPMorgan&#8217;s head of global asset allocation, is warning that the Federal Reserve is creating a huge financial bubble which could &#8220;<a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/jp-morgan-central-banks-no-confidence-bubble-2014-5">push us into a credit crisis</a>&#8220;&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Where do we go from here? To this analyst, still very subdued economic growth, both at the US and global level, implies continued easy monetary policy. The risk is that bond yields rise no faster than the forwards. Financial overheating (asset inflation) proceeds much faster than economic overheating (CPI inflation). Before CPI inflation has a chance to emerge, and before monetary policy is truly above neutral, a financial bubble will have popped up somewhere and will have corrected, pushing the economy down. That is what has happened in the past 25 years. The behavior of central banks gives us no confidence that this time will be different: Central banks talk about financial instability, but appear to define this mostly in term of bank leverage. Each successive boom and bust is always in another place. A bubble can emerge without leverage. It is not possible to project exactly where this boom and bust cycle will take place as knowing where it will be would induce evasive actions that should prevent it from occurring. One possible ending, among many, is that ultra-easy rates having induced credit markets to grow much faster than equity markets, combines with reduced market making by banks (many of whom have become like brokers) to create a liquidity crisis when the Fed starts the first set of rate hikes. <strong>This could then be bad enough to close primary markets, and thus push us into a credit crisis</strong>.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>#17</strong> Peter Boockvar, the chief market analyst at the Lindsey Group, is warning that the U.S. stock market could experience <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/101688725">a 20 percent decline</a> once quantitative easing completely ends.</p>
<p><strong>#18</strong> A lot of other big names are <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/101689731">telling CNBC</a> that they expect a significant stock market &#8220;correction&#8221; very soon as well&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>A bevy of high-profile names have warned lately that the market is on the doorstep of a major move lower. From long-term market bulls such as Piper Jaffray to short-term traders such as Dennis Gartman, expectations are high that the major averages are poised for a big dip, with calls varying from 10 percent or so all the way up to 25 percent.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>#19</strong> The number of Americans enrolled in the Social Security disability program exceeds the entire population of the nation of Greece and has just hit <a href="http://cnsnews.com/news/article/terence-p-jeffrey/10996447-disability-beneficiaries-hit-new-record">another brand new record high</a>.</p>
<p><strong>#20</strong> Poverty continues to grow all over the country, and right now there are <a title="49 million Americans" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/epidemic-of-hunger-new-report-says-49-million-americans-are-dealing-with-food-insecurity" target="_blank">49 million Americans</a> that are dealing with food insecurity.</p>
<p><strong>#21</strong> According to Pew Charitable Trusts, tax revenue in 26 U.S. states <a href="http://www.moneynews.com/Economy/Pew-Recession-States-Revenue/2014/05/19/id/572183/?ns_mail_uid=612513&amp;ns_mail_job=1569821_05202014&amp;promo_code=sl335zgr">is still lower than it was back in 2008</a> even though tax rates have gone up in many areas since then.</p>
<p><strong>#22</strong> Barack Obama is doing his best to keep his promise <a href="http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2014/05/17/President-Obama-s-Big-Carbon-Crackdown-Readies-for-Launch">to destroy the U.S. coal industry</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>The EPA is about to impose a new regulation that will reduce carbon emissions from existing power plants starting June 2 and will become permanent in 2015. The new regulation, according to Politico, is the “most dramatic anti-pollution regulation in a generation.” Because the new regulation will further cripple the coal industry, as coal-burning plants will be severely affected, American power will become more dependent on natural gas, solar and wind.</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>#23</strong> Climatologists are now saying that the state of Texas is going through the worst period of drought that it has experienced <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/101686355">in 500 years</a>.</p>
<p><strong>#24</strong> It is being reported that &#8220;<a href="http://www.khou.com/news/texas-news/Dozens-of-Texas-communities-with-less-than-90-days-of-water-259782111.html">dozens of Texas communities</a>&#8221; are less than 90 days away from being completely out of water.</p>
<p><strong>#25</strong> It is being projected that the drought in California will cost the agricultural industry <a href="http://news.ucdavis.edu/search/news_detail.lasso?id=10933">1.7 billion dollars</a> and that approximately 14,500 agricultural workers will lose their jobs.</p>
<p><strong>#26</strong> Due in part to the drought, the price of meat rose at the fastest pace <a href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/the-meat-crisis-is-here-price-of-shrimp-up-61-7-million-pigs-dead-beef-at-all-time-high">in more than 10 years</a> last month.</p>
<p><strong>#27</strong> According to <a href="http://www.pollingreport.com/right.htm">recent surveys</a>, only about a quarter of all Americans believe that the country is heading in the right direction.</p>
<p>The post <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/27-huge-red-flags-for-the-u-s-economy/">27 Huge Red Flags For The U.S. Economy</a> appeared first on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com">The Economic Collapse</a>.</p>
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